Yellow Pages Limited Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 7.11

YLWDF Stock  USD 7.11  0.10  1.43%   
Yellow Pages' future price is the expected price of Yellow Pages instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Yellow Pages Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Yellow Pages Backtesting, Yellow Pages Valuation, Yellow Pages Correlation, Yellow Pages Hype Analysis, Yellow Pages Volatility, Yellow Pages History as well as Yellow Pages Performance.
  
Please specify Yellow Pages' target price for which you would like Yellow Pages odds to be computed.

Yellow Pages Target Price Odds to finish over 7.11

The tendency of Yellow Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 7.11 90 days 7.11 
about 84.84
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Yellow Pages to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 84.84 (This Yellow Pages Limited probability density function shows the probability of Yellow Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Yellow Pages has a beta of 0.0085. This entails as returns on the market go up, Yellow Pages average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Yellow Pages Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Yellow Pages Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Yellow Pages Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Yellow Pages

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Yellow Pages Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Yellow Pages' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.227.118.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.106.997.88
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.367.268.15
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.957.107.26
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Yellow Pages. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Yellow Pages' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Yellow Pages' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Yellow Pages Limited.

Yellow Pages Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Yellow Pages is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Yellow Pages' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Yellow Pages Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Yellow Pages within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.18
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.01
σ
Overall volatility
0.34
Ir
Information ratio -0.29

Yellow Pages Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Yellow Pages for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Yellow Pages Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Yellow Pages Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 100.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors

Yellow Pages Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Yellow Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Yellow Pages' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Yellow Pages' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding27.5 M

Yellow Pages Technical Analysis

Yellow Pages' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Yellow Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Yellow Pages Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Yellow Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Yellow Pages Predictive Forecast Models

Yellow Pages' time-series forecasting models is one of many Yellow Pages' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Yellow Pages' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Yellow Pages Limited

Checking the ongoing alerts about Yellow Pages for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Yellow Pages Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Yellow Pages Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 100.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Check out Yellow Pages Backtesting, Yellow Pages Valuation, Yellow Pages Correlation, Yellow Pages Hype Analysis, Yellow Pages Volatility, Yellow Pages History as well as Yellow Pages Performance.
Note that the Yellow Pages Limited information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Yellow Pages' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..

Complementary Tools for Yellow Pink Sheet analysis

When running Yellow Pages' price analysis, check to measure Yellow Pages' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Yellow Pages is operating at the current time. Most of Yellow Pages' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Yellow Pages' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Yellow Pages' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Yellow Pages to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Yellow Pages' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Yellow Pages is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Yellow Pages' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.