Tiaa Cref Lifecycle Index Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 25.34
| TLYRX Fund | USD 25.34 0.23 0.92% |
Tiaa-cref |
Tiaa-cref Lifecycle Target Price Odds to finish over 25.34
The tendency of Tiaa-cref Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 25.34 | 90 days | 25.34 | about 27.43 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tiaa-cref Lifecycle to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 27.43 (This Tiaa Cref Lifecycle Index probability density function shows the probability of Tiaa-cref Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Tiaa-cref Lifecycle has a beta of 0.79. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Tiaa-cref Lifecycle average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Tiaa Cref Lifecycle Index will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Tiaa Cref Lifecycle Index has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Tiaa-cref Lifecycle Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Tiaa-cref Lifecycle
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tiaa Cref Lifecycle. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tiaa-cref Lifecycle's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Tiaa-cref Lifecycle Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tiaa-cref Lifecycle is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tiaa-cref Lifecycle's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tiaa Cref Lifecycle Index, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tiaa-cref Lifecycle within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.0073 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.79 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.35 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Tiaa-cref Lifecycle Technical Analysis
Tiaa-cref Lifecycle's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tiaa-cref Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tiaa Cref Lifecycle Index. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tiaa-cref Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Tiaa-cref Lifecycle Predictive Forecast Models
Tiaa-cref Lifecycle's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tiaa-cref Lifecycle's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tiaa-cref Lifecycle's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Tiaa-cref Lifecycle in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Tiaa-cref Lifecycle's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Tiaa-cref Lifecycle options trading.
Check out Tiaa-cref Lifecycle Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Tiaa-cref Lifecycle Correlation, Tiaa-cref Lifecycle Hype Analysis, Tiaa-cref Lifecycle Volatility, Tiaa-cref Lifecycle History as well as Tiaa-cref Lifecycle Performance. You can also try the Sign In To Macroaxis module to sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules.