Tim Participacoes Sa Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 15.66

TIMB Stock  USD 15.66  0.17  1.10%   
TIM Participacoes' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on TIM Participacoes SA. Implied volatility approximates the future value of TIM Participacoes based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in TIM Participacoes SA over a specific time period. For example, 2024-06-21 CALL at $12.5 is a CALL option contract on TIM Participacoes' common stock with a strick price of 12.5 expiring on 2024-06-21. The contract was not traded in recent days and, as of today, has 15 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $1.9, and an ask price of $4.4. The implied volatility as of the 6th of June is 106.83. View All TIM options

Closest to current price TIM long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

TIM Participacoes' future price is the expected price of TIM Participacoes instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of TIM Participacoes SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out TIM Participacoes Backtesting, TIM Participacoes Valuation, TIM Participacoes Correlation, TIM Participacoes Hype Analysis, TIM Participacoes Volatility, TIM Participacoes History as well as TIM Participacoes Performance.
  
At present, TIM Participacoes' Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is expected to grow to 29.54, whereas Price To Sales Ratio is forecasted to decline to 5.52. Please specify TIM Participacoes' target price for which you would like TIM Participacoes odds to be computed.

TIM Participacoes Target Price Odds to finish over 15.66

The tendency of TIM Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 15.66 90 days 15.66 
over 95.58
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of TIM Participacoes to move above the current price in 90 days from now is over 95.58 (This TIM Participacoes SA probability density function shows the probability of TIM Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days TIM Participacoes has a beta of 0.57. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, TIM Participacoes average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding TIM Participacoes SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally TIM Participacoes SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   TIM Participacoes Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for TIM Participacoes

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TIM Participacoes. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of TIM Participacoes' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.0015.6817.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.0616.7418.42
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13.7315.4117.09
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
15.7217.2719.17
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as TIM Participacoes. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against TIM Participacoes' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, TIM Participacoes' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in TIM Participacoes.

TIM Participacoes Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. TIM Participacoes is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the TIM Participacoes' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TIM Participacoes SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of TIM Participacoes within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.22
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.57
σ
Overall volatility
0.81
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

TIM Participacoes Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of TIM Participacoes for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TIM Participacoes can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
TIM Participacoes generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
TIM Participacoes SA currently holds 16.03 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.69, which is about average as compared to similar companies. TIM Participacoes has a current ratio of 0.88, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about TIM Participacoes' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
TIM Participacoes has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
On 30th of April 2024 TIM Participacoes paid $ 0.0821 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Telecom Italia steps up spending at home, slows debt reduction - Yahoo News Australia

TIM Participacoes Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of TIM Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential TIM Participacoes' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TIM Participacoes' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.4 M
Cash And Short Term InvestmentsB

TIM Participacoes Technical Analysis

TIM Participacoes' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. TIM Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of TIM Participacoes SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing TIM Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

TIM Participacoes Predictive Forecast Models

TIM Participacoes' time-series forecasting models is one of many TIM Participacoes' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary TIM Participacoes' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about TIM Participacoes

Checking the ongoing alerts about TIM Participacoes for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for TIM Participacoes help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
TIM Participacoes generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
TIM Participacoes SA currently holds 16.03 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.69, which is about average as compared to similar companies. TIM Participacoes has a current ratio of 0.88, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about TIM Participacoes' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
TIM Participacoes has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
On 30th of April 2024 TIM Participacoes paid $ 0.0821 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Telecom Italia steps up spending at home, slows debt reduction - Yahoo News Australia

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in TIM Stock

When determining whether TIM Participacoes offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of TIM Participacoes' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Tim Participacoes Sa Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Tim Participacoes Sa Stock:
Is Wireless Telecommunication Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of TIM Participacoes. If investors know TIM will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about TIM Participacoes listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.235
Dividend Share
0.649
Earnings Share
1.12
Revenue Per Share
50.17
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.081
The market value of TIM Participacoes is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of TIM that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of TIM Participacoes' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is TIM Participacoes' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because TIM Participacoes' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect TIM Participacoes' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between TIM Participacoes' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if TIM Participacoes is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, TIM Participacoes' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.