Solusi Tunas (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 39125.00

SUPR Stock  IDR 39,125  0.00  0.00%   
Solusi Tunas' future price is the expected price of Solusi Tunas instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Solusi Tunas Pratama performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Solusi Tunas Backtesting, Solusi Tunas Valuation, Solusi Tunas Correlation, Solusi Tunas Hype Analysis, Solusi Tunas Volatility, Solusi Tunas History as well as Solusi Tunas Performance.
  
Please specify Solusi Tunas' target price for which you would like Solusi Tunas odds to be computed.

Solusi Tunas Target Price Odds to finish over 39125.00

The tendency of Solusi Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 39,125 90 days 39,125 
about 97.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Solusi Tunas to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 97.0 (This Solusi Tunas Pratama probability density function shows the probability of Solusi Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Solusi Tunas has a beta of 0.015. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Solusi Tunas average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Solusi Tunas Pratama will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Solusi Tunas Pratama has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Solusi Tunas Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Solusi Tunas

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Solusi Tunas Pratama. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Solusi Tunas' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
39,12539,12539,125
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
38,73338,73443,038
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
39,40239,40239,402
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
38,67539,44240,210
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Solusi Tunas. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Solusi Tunas' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Solusi Tunas' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Solusi Tunas Pratama.

Solusi Tunas Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Solusi Tunas is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Solusi Tunas' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Solusi Tunas Pratama, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Solusi Tunas within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.04
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.01
σ
Overall volatility
318.89
Ir
Information ratio -0.48

Solusi Tunas Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Solusi Tunas for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Solusi Tunas Pratama can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Solusi Tunas Pratama generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company has accumulated 5.1 T in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.89, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Solusi Tunas Pratama has a current ratio of 0.63, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Solusi Tunas until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Solusi Tunas' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Solusi Tunas Pratama sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Solusi to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Solusi Tunas' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 2.08 T. Net Loss for the year was (68.95 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.96 T.
About 100.0% of Solusi Tunas outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Solusi Tunas Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Solusi Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Solusi Tunas' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Solusi Tunas' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.1 B
Cash And Short Term Investments593.4 B

Solusi Tunas Technical Analysis

Solusi Tunas' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Solusi Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Solusi Tunas Pratama. In general, you should focus on analyzing Solusi Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Solusi Tunas Predictive Forecast Models

Solusi Tunas' time-series forecasting models is one of many Solusi Tunas' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Solusi Tunas' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Solusi Tunas Pratama

Checking the ongoing alerts about Solusi Tunas for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Solusi Tunas Pratama help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Solusi Tunas Pratama generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company has accumulated 5.1 T in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.89, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Solusi Tunas Pratama has a current ratio of 0.63, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Solusi Tunas until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Solusi Tunas' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Solusi Tunas Pratama sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Solusi to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Solusi Tunas' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 2.08 T. Net Loss for the year was (68.95 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.96 T.
About 100.0% of Solusi Tunas outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Check out Solusi Tunas Backtesting, Solusi Tunas Valuation, Solusi Tunas Correlation, Solusi Tunas Hype Analysis, Solusi Tunas Volatility, Solusi Tunas History as well as Solusi Tunas Performance.
You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.

Complementary Tools for Solusi Stock analysis

When running Solusi Tunas' price analysis, check to measure Solusi Tunas' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Solusi Tunas is operating at the current time. Most of Solusi Tunas' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Solusi Tunas' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Solusi Tunas' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Solusi Tunas to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Solusi Tunas' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Solusi Tunas is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Solusi Tunas' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.