Schneider National Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 22.16

SNDR Stock  USD 22.16  0.12  0.54%   
Schneider National's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Schneider National. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Schneider National based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Schneider National over a specific time period. For example, 2024-06-21 CALL at $20.0 is a CALL option contract on Schneider National's common stock with a strick price of 20.0 expiring on 2024-06-21. The contract was not traded in recent days and, as of today, has 26 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $1.15, and an ask price of $4.4. The implied volatility as of the 26th of May is 56.39. View All Schneider options

Closest to current price Schneider long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Schneider National's future price is the expected price of Schneider National instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Schneider National performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Schneider National Backtesting, Schneider National Valuation, Schneider National Correlation, Schneider National Hype Analysis, Schneider National Volatility, Schneider National History as well as Schneider National Performance.
To learn how to invest in Schneider Stock, please use our How to Invest in Schneider National guide.
  
At this time, Schneider National's Price Sales Ratio is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 05/26/2024, Price Fair Value is likely to grow to 2.42, though Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to grow to (0.38). Please specify Schneider National's target price for which you would like Schneider National odds to be computed.

Schneider National Target Price Odds to finish over 22.16

The tendency of Schneider Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 22.16 90 days 22.16 
about 53.58
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Schneider National to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 53.58 (This Schneider National probability density function shows the probability of Schneider Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Schneider National has a beta of 0.36. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Schneider National average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Schneider National will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Schneider National has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Schneider National Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Schneider National

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Schneider National. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Schneider National's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.5222.1823.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.9428.4230.08
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
19.6421.3022.95
Details
15 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
31.6034.7338.55
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Schneider National. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Schneider National's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Schneider National's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Schneider National.

Schneider National Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Schneider National is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Schneider National's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Schneider National, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Schneider National within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.11
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.36
σ
Overall volatility
0.78
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Schneider National Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Schneider National for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Schneider National can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Schneider National generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Schneider National has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 9th of April 2024 Schneider National paid $ 0.095 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from zacks.com: Bear of the Day Schneider National

Schneider National Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Schneider Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Schneider National's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Schneider National's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding178.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments102.4 M

Schneider National Technical Analysis

Schneider National's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Schneider Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Schneider National. In general, you should focus on analyzing Schneider Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Schneider National Predictive Forecast Models

Schneider National's time-series forecasting models is one of many Schneider National's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Schneider National's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Schneider National

Checking the ongoing alerts about Schneider National for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Schneider National help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Schneider National generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Schneider National has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 9th of April 2024 Schneider National paid $ 0.095 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from zacks.com: Bear of the Day Schneider National
When determining whether Schneider National is a strong investment it is important to analyze Schneider National's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Schneider National's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Schneider Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Schneider National Backtesting, Schneider National Valuation, Schneider National Correlation, Schneider National Hype Analysis, Schneider National Volatility, Schneider National History as well as Schneider National Performance.
To learn how to invest in Schneider Stock, please use our How to Invest in Schneider National guide.
Note that the Schneider National information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Schneider National's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.

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When running Schneider National's price analysis, check to measure Schneider National's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Schneider National is operating at the current time. Most of Schneider National's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Schneider National's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Schneider National's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Schneider National to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Schneider National's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Schneider National. If investors know Schneider will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Schneider National listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.82)
Dividend Share
0.365
Earnings Share
0.89
Revenue Per Share
30.491
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.08)
The market value of Schneider National is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Schneider that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Schneider National's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Schneider National's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Schneider National's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Schneider National's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Schneider National's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Schneider National is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Schneider National's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.