Seabridge Gold Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 19.81
| SA Stock | USD 15.85 0.30 1.86% |
Closest to current price Seabridge long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Seabridge |
Seabridge Gold Target Price Odds to finish over 19.81
The tendency of Seabridge Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 19.81 or more in 90 days |
| 15.85 | 90 days | 19.81 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Seabridge Gold to move over $ 19.81 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Seabridge Gold probability density function shows the probability of Seabridge Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Seabridge Gold price to stay between its current price of $ 15.85 and $ 19.81 at the end of the 90-day period is about 17.21 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.63 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Seabridge Gold will likely underperform. Additionally Seabridge Gold has an alpha of 0.5129, implying that it can generate a 0.51 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Seabridge Gold Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Seabridge Gold
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Seabridge Gold. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Seabridge Gold's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Seabridge Gold Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Seabridge Gold is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Seabridge Gold's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Seabridge Gold, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Seabridge Gold within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.51 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.63 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.29 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.17 |
Seabridge Gold Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Seabridge Gold for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Seabridge Gold can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Seabridge Gold had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (29.27 M) with gross profit of 0. | |
| Seabridge Gold reports about 127.84 M in cash with (21.54 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.42. | |
| Seabridge Gold has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Seabridge Gold Releases Comprehensive 2023 Sustainability Report |
Seabridge Gold Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Seabridge Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Seabridge Gold's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Seabridge Gold's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 83 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 86.2 M |
Seabridge Gold Technical Analysis
Seabridge Gold's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Seabridge Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Seabridge Gold. In general, you should focus on analyzing Seabridge Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Seabridge Gold Predictive Forecast Models
Seabridge Gold's time-series forecasting models is one of many Seabridge Gold's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Seabridge Gold's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Seabridge Gold
Checking the ongoing alerts about Seabridge Gold for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Seabridge Gold help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Seabridge Gold had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (29.27 M) with gross profit of 0. | |
| Seabridge Gold reports about 127.84 M in cash with (21.54 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.42. | |
| Seabridge Gold has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Seabridge Gold Releases Comprehensive 2023 Sustainability Report |
Check out Seabridge Gold Backtesting, Seabridge Gold Valuation, Seabridge Gold Correlation, Seabridge Gold Hype Analysis, Seabridge Gold Volatility, Seabridge Gold History as well as Seabridge Gold Performance. For information on how to trade Seabridge Stock refer to our How to Trade Seabridge Stock guide.Note that the Seabridge Gold information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Seabridge Gold's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..
Complementary Tools for Seabridge Stock analysis
When running Seabridge Gold's price analysis, check to measure Seabridge Gold's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Seabridge Gold is operating at the current time. Most of Seabridge Gold's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Seabridge Gold's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Seabridge Gold's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Seabridge Gold to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Seabridge Gold's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Seabridge Gold. If investors know Seabridge will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Seabridge Gold listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.54) | Earnings Share (0.23) | Return On Assets (0.01) | Return On Equity (0.04) |
The market value of Seabridge Gold is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Seabridge that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Seabridge Gold's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Seabridge Gold's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Seabridge Gold's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Seabridge Gold's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Seabridge Gold's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Seabridge Gold is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Seabridge Gold's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.