Rockhopper Exploration (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 14.20
| RKH Stock | 14.20 0.70 5.19% |
Rockhopper |
Rockhopper Exploration Target Price Odds to finish over 14.20
The tendency of Rockhopper Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 14.20 | 90 days | 14.20 | about 1.26 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Rockhopper Exploration to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 1.26 (This Rockhopper Exploration probability density function shows the probability of Rockhopper Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Rockhopper Exploration has a beta of 0.59 indicating as returns on the market go up, Rockhopper Exploration average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Rockhopper Exploration will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Rockhopper Exploration has an alpha of 0.2822, implying that it can generate a 0.28 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Rockhopper Exploration Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Rockhopper Exploration
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rockhopper Exploration. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Rockhopper Exploration's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Rockhopper Exploration Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Rockhopper Exploration is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Rockhopper Exploration's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Rockhopper Exploration, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Rockhopper Exploration within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.28 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.59 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.42 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Rockhopper Exploration Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Rockhopper Exploration for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Rockhopper Exploration can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Rockhopper Exploration has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (4.55 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (1.31 M). | |
| Rockhopper Exploration generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 34.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Rockhopper Exploration Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Rockhopper Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Rockhopper Exploration's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Rockhopper Exploration's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 590.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 8 M |
Rockhopper Exploration Technical Analysis
Rockhopper Exploration's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Rockhopper Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Rockhopper Exploration. In general, you should focus on analyzing Rockhopper Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Rockhopper Exploration Predictive Forecast Models
Rockhopper Exploration's time-series forecasting models is one of many Rockhopper Exploration's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Rockhopper Exploration's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Rockhopper Exploration
Checking the ongoing alerts about Rockhopper Exploration for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Rockhopper Exploration help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Rockhopper Exploration has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (4.55 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (1.31 M). | |
| Rockhopper Exploration generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 34.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Rockhopper Stock
Rockhopper Exploration financial ratios help investors to determine whether Rockhopper Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Rockhopper with respect to the benefits of owning Rockhopper Exploration security.