Pihlajalinna (Finland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 8.80

PIHLIS Stock  EUR 8.80  0.64  7.84%   
Pihlajalinna's future price is the expected price of Pihlajalinna instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Pihlajalinna Oy performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Pihlajalinna Backtesting, Pihlajalinna Valuation, Pihlajalinna Correlation, Pihlajalinna Hype Analysis, Pihlajalinna Volatility, Pihlajalinna History as well as Pihlajalinna Performance.
  
Please specify Pihlajalinna's target price for which you would like Pihlajalinna odds to be computed.

Pihlajalinna Target Price Odds to finish over 8.80

The tendency of Pihlajalinna Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 8.80 90 days 8.80 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pihlajalinna to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Pihlajalinna Oy probability density function shows the probability of Pihlajalinna Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Pihlajalinna Oy has a beta of -0.4 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Pihlajalinna are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Pihlajalinna Oy is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Pihlajalinna Oy has an alpha of 0.3455, implying that it can generate a 0.35 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Pihlajalinna Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Pihlajalinna

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pihlajalinna Oy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Pihlajalinna's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.898.8010.71
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.458.3610.27
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.888.7910.69
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.728.409.08
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Pihlajalinna. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Pihlajalinna's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Pihlajalinna's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Pihlajalinna Oy.

Pihlajalinna Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pihlajalinna is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pihlajalinna's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pihlajalinna Oy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pihlajalinna within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.35
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.4
σ
Overall volatility
0.36
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

Pihlajalinna Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pihlajalinna for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pihlajalinna Oy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pihlajalinna Oy has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company has accumulated 91.44 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 93.6, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Pihlajalinna Oy has a current ratio of 0.74, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Pihlajalinna until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Pihlajalinna's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Pihlajalinna Oy sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Pihlajalinna to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Pihlajalinna's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 20.0% of Pihlajalinna outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Pihlajalinna Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Pihlajalinna Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Pihlajalinna's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pihlajalinna's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding22.6 M

Pihlajalinna Technical Analysis

Pihlajalinna's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pihlajalinna Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pihlajalinna Oy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pihlajalinna Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Pihlajalinna Predictive Forecast Models

Pihlajalinna's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pihlajalinna's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pihlajalinna's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Pihlajalinna Oy

Checking the ongoing alerts about Pihlajalinna for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pihlajalinna Oy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pihlajalinna Oy has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company has accumulated 91.44 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 93.6, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Pihlajalinna Oy has a current ratio of 0.74, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Pihlajalinna until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Pihlajalinna's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Pihlajalinna Oy sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Pihlajalinna to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Pihlajalinna's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 20.0% of Pihlajalinna outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Check out Pihlajalinna Backtesting, Pihlajalinna Valuation, Pihlajalinna Correlation, Pihlajalinna Hype Analysis, Pihlajalinna Volatility, Pihlajalinna History as well as Pihlajalinna Performance.
You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.

Complementary Tools for Pihlajalinna Stock analysis

When running Pihlajalinna's price analysis, check to measure Pihlajalinna's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Pihlajalinna is operating at the current time. Most of Pihlajalinna's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Pihlajalinna's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Pihlajalinna's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Pihlajalinna to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Pihlajalinna's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Pihlajalinna is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Pihlajalinna's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.