Pitney Bowes Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.99
| PBI Stock | USD 4.99 0.08 1.58% |
Closest to current price Pitney long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Pitney |
Pitney Bowes Target Price Odds to finish over 4.99
The tendency of Pitney Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 4.99 | 90 days | 4.99 | about 11.21 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pitney Bowes to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 11.21 (This Pitney Bowes probability density function shows the probability of Pitney Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.67 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Pitney Bowes will likely underperform. Additionally Pitney Bowes has an alpha of 0.3334, implying that it can generate a 0.33 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Pitney Bowes Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Pitney Bowes
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pitney Bowes. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Pitney Bowes' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Pitney Bowes Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pitney Bowes is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pitney Bowes' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pitney Bowes, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pitney Bowes within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.33 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.67 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.51 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Pitney Bowes Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pitney Bowes for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pitney Bowes can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Pitney Bowes appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 3.27 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (385.63 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.08 B. | |
| Pitney Bowes has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 67.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Pitney Bowes names interim CEO, targets cost savings |
Pitney Bowes Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Pitney Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Pitney Bowes' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pitney Bowes' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 175.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 623.2 M |
Pitney Bowes Technical Analysis
Pitney Bowes' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pitney Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pitney Bowes. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pitney Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Pitney Bowes Predictive Forecast Models
Pitney Bowes' time-series forecasting models is one of many Pitney Bowes' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pitney Bowes' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Pitney Bowes
Checking the ongoing alerts about Pitney Bowes for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pitney Bowes help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Pitney Bowes appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 3.27 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (385.63 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.08 B. | |
| Pitney Bowes has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 67.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Pitney Bowes names interim CEO, targets cost savings |
Check out Pitney Bowes Backtesting, Pitney Bowes Valuation, Pitney Bowes Correlation, Pitney Bowes Hype Analysis, Pitney Bowes Volatility, Pitney Bowes History as well as Pitney Bowes Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Pitney Stock please use our How to Invest in Pitney Bowes guide.Note that the Pitney Bowes information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Pitney Bowes' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.
Complementary Tools for Pitney Stock analysis
When running Pitney Bowes' price analysis, check to measure Pitney Bowes' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Pitney Bowes is operating at the current time. Most of Pitney Bowes' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Pitney Bowes' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Pitney Bowes' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Pitney Bowes to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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| Portfolio Analyzer Portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine |
Is Pitney Bowes' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Pitney Bowes. If investors know Pitney will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Pitney Bowes listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 4.614 | Dividend Share 0.2 | Earnings Share (2.11) | Revenue Per Share 18.511 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) |
The market value of Pitney Bowes is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Pitney that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Pitney Bowes' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Pitney Bowes' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Pitney Bowes' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Pitney Bowes' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Pitney Bowes' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Pitney Bowes is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Pitney Bowes' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.