Sterreichische Post Ag Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 33.95

OERCF Stock  USD 33.95  3.99  13.32%   
Sterreichische Post's future price is the expected price of Sterreichische Post instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of sterreichische Post AG performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Sterreichische Post Backtesting, Sterreichische Post Valuation, Sterreichische Post Correlation, Sterreichische Post Hype Analysis, Sterreichische Post Volatility, Sterreichische Post History as well as Sterreichische Post Performance.
  
Please specify Sterreichische Post's target price for which you would like Sterreichische Post odds to be computed.

Sterreichische Post Target Price Odds to finish over 33.95

The tendency of Sterreichische Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 33.95 90 days 33.95 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sterreichische Post to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This sterreichische Post AG probability density function shows the probability of Sterreichische Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Sterreichische Post has a beta of 0.0578. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Sterreichische Post average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding sterreichische Post AG will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Sterreichische Post AG has an alpha of 0.0847, implying that it can generate a 0.0847 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Sterreichische Post Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sterreichische Post

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as sterreichische Post. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sterreichische Post's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
33.0233.9534.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
31.5832.5137.35
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Sterreichische Post. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Sterreichische Post's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Sterreichische Post's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in sterreichische Post.

Sterreichische Post Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sterreichische Post is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sterreichische Post's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold sterreichische Post AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sterreichische Post within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.08
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.06
σ
Overall volatility
0.86
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Sterreichische Post Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sterreichische Post for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for sterreichische Post can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has a current ratio of 0.87, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Sterreichische Post until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Sterreichische Post's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like sterreichische Post sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Sterreichische to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Sterreichische Post's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 53.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Sterreichische Post Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sterreichische Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sterreichische Post's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sterreichische Post's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding67.6 M

Sterreichische Post Technical Analysis

Sterreichische Post's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sterreichische Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of sterreichische Post AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sterreichische Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sterreichische Post Predictive Forecast Models

Sterreichische Post's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sterreichische Post's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sterreichische Post's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about sterreichische Post

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sterreichische Post for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for sterreichische Post help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has a current ratio of 0.87, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Sterreichische Post until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Sterreichische Post's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like sterreichische Post sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Sterreichische to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Sterreichische Post's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 53.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Check out Sterreichische Post Backtesting, Sterreichische Post Valuation, Sterreichische Post Correlation, Sterreichische Post Hype Analysis, Sterreichische Post Volatility, Sterreichische Post History as well as Sterreichische Post Performance.
Note that the sterreichische Post information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Sterreichische Post's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.

Complementary Tools for Sterreichische Pink Sheet analysis

When running Sterreichische Post's price analysis, check to measure Sterreichische Post's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sterreichische Post is operating at the current time. Most of Sterreichische Post's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sterreichische Post's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sterreichische Post's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sterreichische Post to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Sterreichische Post's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sterreichische Post is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sterreichische Post's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.