Oppenhemier Cnsrvtv Invstr Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 8.63
| OACIX Fund | USD 8.43 0.03 0.36% |
Oppenhemier |
Oppenhemier Cnsrvtv Target Price Odds to finish over 8.63
The tendency of Oppenhemier Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 8.63 or more in 90 days |
| 8.43 | 90 days | 8.63 | roughly 2.72 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Oppenhemier Cnsrvtv to move over $ 8.63 or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.72 (This Oppenhemier Cnsrvtv Invstr probability density function shows the probability of Oppenhemier Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Oppenhemier Cnsrvtv price to stay between its current price of $ 8.43 and $ 8.63 at the end of the 90-day period is about 82.25 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Oppenhemier Cnsrvtv has a beta of 0.0408. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Oppenhemier Cnsrvtv average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Oppenhemier Cnsrvtv Invstr will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Oppenhemier Cnsrvtv Invstr has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Oppenhemier Cnsrvtv Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Oppenhemier Cnsrvtv
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oppenhemier Cnsrvtv. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Oppenhemier Cnsrvtv's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Oppenhemier Cnsrvtv Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Oppenhemier Cnsrvtv is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Oppenhemier Cnsrvtv's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Oppenhemier Cnsrvtv Invstr, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Oppenhemier Cnsrvtv within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.01 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.29 |
Oppenhemier Cnsrvtv Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Oppenhemier Cnsrvtv for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Oppenhemier Cnsrvtv can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Oppenhemier Cnsrvtv generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund generated three year return of -3.0% | |
| Oppenhemier Cnsrvtv maintains about 20.51% of its assets in bonds |
Oppenhemier Cnsrvtv Technical Analysis
Oppenhemier Cnsrvtv's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Oppenhemier Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Oppenhemier Cnsrvtv Invstr. In general, you should focus on analyzing Oppenhemier Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Oppenhemier Cnsrvtv Predictive Forecast Models
Oppenhemier Cnsrvtv's time-series forecasting models is one of many Oppenhemier Cnsrvtv's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Oppenhemier Cnsrvtv's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Oppenhemier Cnsrvtv
Checking the ongoing alerts about Oppenhemier Cnsrvtv for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Oppenhemier Cnsrvtv help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Oppenhemier Cnsrvtv generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund generated three year return of -3.0% | |
| Oppenhemier Cnsrvtv maintains about 20.51% of its assets in bonds |
Check out Oppenhemier Cnsrvtv Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Oppenhemier Cnsrvtv Correlation, Oppenhemier Cnsrvtv Hype Analysis, Oppenhemier Cnsrvtv Volatility, Oppenhemier Cnsrvtv History as well as Oppenhemier Cnsrvtv Performance. You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..