Amundi Stoxx (France) Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 237.6

MEUD Etf  EUR 239.53  1.27  0.53%   
Amundi Stoxx's future price is the expected price of Amundi Stoxx instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Amundi Stoxx Europe performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Amundi Stoxx Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Amundi Stoxx Correlation, Amundi Stoxx Hype Analysis, Amundi Stoxx Volatility, Amundi Stoxx History as well as Amundi Stoxx Performance.
  
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Amundi Stoxx Target Price Odds to finish below 237.6

The tendency of Amundi Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 237.60  or more in 90 days
 239.53 90 days 237.60 
about 77.84
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Amundi Stoxx to drop to € 237.60  or more in 90 days from now is about 77.84 (This Amundi Stoxx Europe probability density function shows the probability of Amundi Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Amundi Stoxx Europe price to stay between € 237.60  and its current price of €239.53 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.67 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Amundi Stoxx has a beta of 0.32. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Amundi Stoxx average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Amundi Stoxx Europe will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Amundi Stoxx Europe has an alpha of 0.0844, implying that it can generate a 0.0844 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Amundi Stoxx Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Amundi Stoxx

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amundi Stoxx Europe. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Amundi Stoxx's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
238.99239.53240.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
215.58257.45257.99
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
234.95235.48236.02
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
226.61236.37246.13
Details

Amundi Stoxx Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Amundi Stoxx is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Amundi Stoxx's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Amundi Stoxx Europe, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Amundi Stoxx within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.08
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.32
σ
Overall volatility
4.95
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

Amundi Stoxx Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Amundi Stoxx for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Amundi Stoxx Europe can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 99.93% of its assets in stocks

Amundi Stoxx Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Amundi Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Amundi Stoxx's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Amundi Stoxx's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day5.42k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month6.92k

Amundi Stoxx Technical Analysis

Amundi Stoxx's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Amundi Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Amundi Stoxx Europe. In general, you should focus on analyzing Amundi Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Amundi Stoxx Predictive Forecast Models

Amundi Stoxx's time-series forecasting models is one of many Amundi Stoxx's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Amundi Stoxx's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Amundi Stoxx Europe

Checking the ongoing alerts about Amundi Stoxx for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Amundi Stoxx Europe help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 99.93% of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Amundi Etf

Amundi Stoxx financial ratios help investors to determine whether Amundi Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Amundi with respect to the benefits of owning Amundi Stoxx security.