La Comer (Mexico) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 37.9
| LACOMERUBC | MXN 34.42 0.82 2.33% |
LACOMERUBC |
La Comer Target Price Odds to finish below 37.9
The tendency of LACOMERUBC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 37.90 after 90 days |
| 34.42 | 90 days | 37.90 | about 50.56 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of La Comer to stay under 37.90 after 90 days from now is about 50.56 (This La Comer SAB probability density function shows the probability of LACOMERUBC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of La Comer SAB price to stay between its current price of 34.42 and 37.90 at the end of the 90-day period is about 46.52 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon La Comer has a beta of 0.4. This indicates as returns on the market go up, La Comer average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding La Comer SAB will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally La Comer SAB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. La Comer Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for La Comer
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as La Comer SAB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of La Comer's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
La Comer Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. La Comer is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the La Comer's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold La Comer SAB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of La Comer within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.33 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.40 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.00 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.22 |
La Comer Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of La Comer for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for La Comer SAB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| La Comer SAB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 55.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
La Comer Technical Analysis
La Comer's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. LACOMERUBC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of La Comer SAB. In general, you should focus on analyzing LACOMERUBC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
La Comer Predictive Forecast Models
La Comer's time-series forecasting models is one of many La Comer's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary La Comer's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about La Comer SAB
Checking the ongoing alerts about La Comer for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for La Comer SAB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| La Comer SAB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 55.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Check out La Comer Backtesting, La Comer Valuation, La Comer Correlation, La Comer Hype Analysis, La Comer Volatility, La Comer History as well as La Comer Performance. You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
Complementary Tools for LACOMERUBC Stock analysis
When running La Comer's price analysis, check to measure La Comer's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy La Comer is operating at the current time. Most of La Comer's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of La Comer's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move La Comer's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of La Comer to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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