Kentucky Tax Free Income Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 7.17
| KYTFX Fund | USD 7.17 0.01 0.14% |
Kentucky |
Kentucky Tax-free Target Price Odds to finish over 7.17
The tendency of Kentucky Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 7.17 | 90 days | 7.17 | about 71.73 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kentucky Tax-free to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 71.73 (This Kentucky Tax Free Income probability density function shows the probability of Kentucky Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Kentucky Tax-free has a beta of 0.13. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Kentucky Tax-free average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Kentucky Tax Free Income will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Kentucky Tax Free Income has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Kentucky Tax-free Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Kentucky Tax-free
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kentucky Tax Free. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kentucky Tax-free's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Kentucky Tax-free Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kentucky Tax-free is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kentucky Tax-free's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kentucky Tax Free Income, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kentucky Tax-free within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.13 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Kentucky Tax-free Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kentucky Tax-free for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kentucky Tax Free can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Kentucky Tax Free generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund generated three year return of -1.0% | |
| Kentucky Tax Free maintains about 99.83% of its assets in bonds |
Kentucky Tax-free Technical Analysis
Kentucky Tax-free's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kentucky Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kentucky Tax Free Income. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kentucky Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Kentucky Tax-free Predictive Forecast Models
Kentucky Tax-free's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kentucky Tax-free's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kentucky Tax-free's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Kentucky Tax Free
Checking the ongoing alerts about Kentucky Tax-free for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kentucky Tax Free help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Kentucky Tax Free generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund generated three year return of -1.0% | |
| Kentucky Tax Free maintains about 99.83% of its assets in bonds |
Other Information on Investing in Kentucky Mutual Fund
Kentucky Tax-free financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kentucky Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kentucky with respect to the benefits of owning Kentucky Tax-free security.
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