KraneShares CSI (Netherlands) Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 21.41
| KWEB Etf | 20.44 0.36 1.73% |
KraneShares |
KraneShares CSI Target Price Odds to finish below 21.41
The tendency of KraneShares Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 21.41 after 90 days |
| 20.44 | 90 days | 21.41 | roughly 96.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of KraneShares CSI to stay under 21.41 after 90 days from now is roughly 96.0 (This KraneShares CSI China probability density function shows the probability of KraneShares Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of KraneShares CSI China price to stay between its current price of 20.44 and 21.41 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.4 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon KraneShares CSI has a beta of 0.12. This indicates as returns on the market go up, KraneShares CSI average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding KraneShares CSI China will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally KraneShares CSI China has an alpha of 0.2778, implying that it can generate a 0.28 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). KraneShares CSI Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for KraneShares CSI
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KraneShares CSI China. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of KraneShares CSI's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as KraneShares CSI. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against KraneShares CSI's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, KraneShares CSI's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in KraneShares CSI China. KraneShares CSI Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. KraneShares CSI is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the KraneShares CSI's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold KraneShares CSI China, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of KraneShares CSI within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.28 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.45 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
KraneShares CSI Technical Analysis
KraneShares CSI's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. KraneShares Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of KraneShares CSI China. In general, you should focus on analyzing KraneShares Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
KraneShares CSI Predictive Forecast Models
KraneShares CSI's time-series forecasting models is one of many KraneShares CSI's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary KraneShares CSI's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards KraneShares CSI in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, KraneShares CSI's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from KraneShares CSI options trading.
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors. You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.