Korfez Gayrimenkul (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 25.78

KRGYO Stock  TRY 25.78  1.12  4.16%   
Korfez Gayrimenkul's future price is the expected price of Korfez Gayrimenkul instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Korfez Gayrimenkul Yatirim performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Korfez Gayrimenkul Backtesting, Korfez Gayrimenkul Valuation, Korfez Gayrimenkul Correlation, Korfez Gayrimenkul Hype Analysis, Korfez Gayrimenkul Volatility, Korfez Gayrimenkul History as well as Korfez Gayrimenkul Performance.
  
Please specify Korfez Gayrimenkul's target price for which you would like Korfez Gayrimenkul odds to be computed.

Korfez Gayrimenkul Target Price Odds to finish over 25.78

The tendency of Korfez Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 25.78 90 days 25.78 
about 45.41
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Korfez Gayrimenkul to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 45.41 (This Korfez Gayrimenkul Yatirim probability density function shows the probability of Korfez Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Korfez Gayrimenkul has a beta of 0.56. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Korfez Gayrimenkul average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Korfez Gayrimenkul Yatirim will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Korfez Gayrimenkul Yatirim has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Korfez Gayrimenkul Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Korfez Gayrimenkul

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Korfez Gayrimenkul. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Korfez Gayrimenkul's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.4825.7829.08
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.7123.0126.31
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
23.9727.2730.57
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
22.5826.1929.81
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Korfez Gayrimenkul. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Korfez Gayrimenkul's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Korfez Gayrimenkul's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Korfez Gayrimenkul.

Korfez Gayrimenkul Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Korfez Gayrimenkul is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Korfez Gayrimenkul's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Korfez Gayrimenkul Yatirim, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Korfez Gayrimenkul within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.2
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.56
σ
Overall volatility
2.08
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Korfez Gayrimenkul Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Korfez Gayrimenkul for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Korfez Gayrimenkul can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Korfez Gayrimenkul generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Korfez Gayrimenkul has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 75.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Korfez Gayrimenkul Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Korfez Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Korfez Gayrimenkul's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Korfez Gayrimenkul's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding66 M

Korfez Gayrimenkul Technical Analysis

Korfez Gayrimenkul's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Korfez Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Korfez Gayrimenkul Yatirim. In general, you should focus on analyzing Korfez Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Korfez Gayrimenkul Predictive Forecast Models

Korfez Gayrimenkul's time-series forecasting models is one of many Korfez Gayrimenkul's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Korfez Gayrimenkul's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Korfez Gayrimenkul

Checking the ongoing alerts about Korfez Gayrimenkul for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Korfez Gayrimenkul help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Korfez Gayrimenkul generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Korfez Gayrimenkul has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 75.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Check out Korfez Gayrimenkul Backtesting, Korfez Gayrimenkul Valuation, Korfez Gayrimenkul Correlation, Korfez Gayrimenkul Hype Analysis, Korfez Gayrimenkul Volatility, Korfez Gayrimenkul History as well as Korfez Gayrimenkul Performance.
You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.

Complementary Tools for Korfez Stock analysis

When running Korfez Gayrimenkul's price analysis, check to measure Korfez Gayrimenkul's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Korfez Gayrimenkul is operating at the current time. Most of Korfez Gayrimenkul's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Korfez Gayrimenkul's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Korfez Gayrimenkul's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Korfez Gayrimenkul to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Korfez Gayrimenkul's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Korfez Gayrimenkul is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Korfez Gayrimenkul's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.