Mainstay Nerstone Growth Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 43.53
| KLGNX Fund | USD 43.53 0.73 1.71% |
Mainstay |
Mainstay Nerstone Target Price Odds to finish over 43.53
The tendency of Mainstay Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 43.53 | 90 days | 43.53 | about 19.66 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mainstay Nerstone to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 19.66 (This Mainstay Nerstone Growth probability density function shows the probability of Mainstay Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.19 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Mainstay Nerstone will likely underperform. Additionally Mainstay Nerstone Growth has an alpha of 0.0135, implying that it can generate a 0.0135 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Mainstay Nerstone Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Mainstay Nerstone
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mainstay Nerstone Growth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mainstay Nerstone's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Mainstay Nerstone Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mainstay Nerstone is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mainstay Nerstone's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mainstay Nerstone Growth, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mainstay Nerstone within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.19 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.82 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Mainstay Nerstone Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mainstay Nerstone for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mainstay Nerstone Growth can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.Mainstay Nerstone Technical Analysis
Mainstay Nerstone's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mainstay Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mainstay Nerstone Growth. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mainstay Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Mainstay Nerstone Predictive Forecast Models
Mainstay Nerstone's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mainstay Nerstone's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mainstay Nerstone's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Mainstay Nerstone Growth
Checking the ongoing alerts about Mainstay Nerstone for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mainstay Nerstone Growth help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Check out Mainstay Nerstone Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Mainstay Nerstone Correlation, Mainstay Nerstone Hype Analysis, Mainstay Nerstone Volatility, Mainstay Nerstone History as well as Mainstay Nerstone Performance. You can also try the Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..