Katmerciler Arac (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.96
| KATMR Stock | TRY 1.96 0.01 0.51% |
Katmerciler |
Katmerciler Arac Target Price Odds to finish over 1.96
The tendency of Katmerciler Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 1.96 | 90 days | 1.96 | roughly 97.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Katmerciler Arac to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 97.0 (This Katmerciler Arac Ustu probability density function shows the probability of Katmerciler Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Katmerciler Arac has a beta of 0.13. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Katmerciler Arac average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Katmerciler Arac Ustu will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Katmerciler Arac Ustu has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Katmerciler Arac Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Katmerciler Arac
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Katmerciler Arac Ustu. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Katmerciler Arac's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Katmerciler Arac Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Katmerciler Arac is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Katmerciler Arac's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Katmerciler Arac Ustu, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Katmerciler Arac within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.37 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.13 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.15 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Katmerciler Arac Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Katmerciler Arac for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Katmerciler Arac Ustu can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Katmerciler Arac generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Katmerciler Arac may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Katmerciler Arac has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company reported the revenue of 400.55 M. Net Loss for the year was (41.69 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 217.99 M. | |
| Katmerciler Arac Ustu has accumulated about 41.96 M in cash with (22.86 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.68. |
Katmerciler Arac Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Katmerciler Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Katmerciler Arac's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Katmerciler Arac's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 652.5 M |
Katmerciler Arac Technical Analysis
Katmerciler Arac's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Katmerciler Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Katmerciler Arac Ustu. In general, you should focus on analyzing Katmerciler Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Katmerciler Arac Predictive Forecast Models
Katmerciler Arac's time-series forecasting models is one of many Katmerciler Arac's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Katmerciler Arac's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Katmerciler Arac Ustu
Checking the ongoing alerts about Katmerciler Arac for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Katmerciler Arac Ustu help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Katmerciler Arac generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Katmerciler Arac may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Katmerciler Arac has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company reported the revenue of 400.55 M. Net Loss for the year was (41.69 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 217.99 M. | |
| Katmerciler Arac Ustu has accumulated about 41.96 M in cash with (22.86 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.68. |
Other Information on Investing in Katmerciler Stock
Katmerciler Arac financial ratios help investors to determine whether Katmerciler Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Katmerciler with respect to the benefits of owning Katmerciler Arac security.