I3 Verticals Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 19.26

IIIV Stock  USD 19.26  0.00  0.00%   
I3 Verticals' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on i3 Verticals. Implied volatility approximates the future value of I3 Verticals based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in i3 Verticals over a specific time period. For example, 2024-06-21 CALL at $17.5 is a CALL option contract on I3 Verticals' common stock with a strick price of 17.5 expiring on 2024-06-21. The contract was not traded in recent days and, as of today, has 24 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $1.3, and an ask price of $3.4. The implied volatility as of the 28th of May is 74.89. View All IIIV options

Closest to current price IIIV long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

I3 Verticals' future price is the expected price of I3 Verticals instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of i3 Verticals performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out I3 Verticals Backtesting, I3 Verticals Valuation, I3 Verticals Correlation, I3 Verticals Hype Analysis, I3 Verticals Volatility, I3 Verticals History as well as I3 Verticals Performance.
For more information on how to buy IIIV Stock please use our How to Invest in I3 Verticals guide.
  
At this time, I3 Verticals' Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is fairly stable compared to the past year. Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is likely to climb to 17.41 in 2024, despite the fact that Price Earnings Ratio is likely to grow to (658.91). Please specify I3 Verticals' target price for which you would like I3 Verticals odds to be computed.

I3 Verticals Target Price Odds to finish over 19.26

The tendency of IIIV Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 19.26 90 days 19.26 
about 99.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of I3 Verticals to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This i3 Verticals probability density function shows the probability of IIIV Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.43 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, I3 Verticals will likely underperform. Additionally I3 Verticals has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   I3 Verticals Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for I3 Verticals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as i3 Verticals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of I3 Verticals' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.7218.8621.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.0521.9724.11
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
16.8018.9421.09
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
27.1729.8633.14
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as I3 Verticals. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against I3 Verticals' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, I3 Verticals' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in i3 Verticals.

I3 Verticals Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. I3 Verticals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the I3 Verticals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold i3 Verticals, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of I3 Verticals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.23
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.43
σ
Overall volatility
1.21
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

I3 Verticals Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of I3 Verticals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for i3 Verticals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
i3 Verticals generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company currently holds 400.02 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.13, which is about average as compared to similar companies. i3 Verticals has a current ratio of 0.68, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist I3 Verticals until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, I3 Verticals' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like i3 Verticals sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for IIIV to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about I3 Verticals' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 370.24 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.84 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 244.5 M.
i3 Verticals has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 95.0% of I3 Verticals shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Chairman CEO of i3 Verticals Gregory Daily Buys 28 percent More Shares - Yahoo New Zealand News

I3 Verticals Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of IIIV Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential I3 Verticals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. I3 Verticals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding33.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments3.1 M

I3 Verticals Technical Analysis

I3 Verticals' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. IIIV Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of i3 Verticals. In general, you should focus on analyzing IIIV Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

I3 Verticals Predictive Forecast Models

I3 Verticals' time-series forecasting models is one of many I3 Verticals' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary I3 Verticals' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about i3 Verticals

Checking the ongoing alerts about I3 Verticals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for i3 Verticals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
i3 Verticals generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company currently holds 400.02 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.13, which is about average as compared to similar companies. i3 Verticals has a current ratio of 0.68, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist I3 Verticals until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, I3 Verticals' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like i3 Verticals sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for IIIV to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about I3 Verticals' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 370.24 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.84 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 244.5 M.
i3 Verticals has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 95.0% of I3 Verticals shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Chairman CEO of i3 Verticals Gregory Daily Buys 28 percent More Shares - Yahoo New Zealand News
When determining whether i3 Verticals is a strong investment it is important to analyze I3 Verticals' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact I3 Verticals' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding IIIV Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out I3 Verticals Backtesting, I3 Verticals Valuation, I3 Verticals Correlation, I3 Verticals Hype Analysis, I3 Verticals Volatility, I3 Verticals History as well as I3 Verticals Performance.
For more information on how to buy IIIV Stock please use our How to Invest in I3 Verticals guide.
You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.

Complementary Tools for IIIV Stock analysis

When running I3 Verticals' price analysis, check to measure I3 Verticals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy I3 Verticals is operating at the current time. Most of I3 Verticals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of I3 Verticals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move I3 Verticals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of I3 Verticals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is I3 Verticals' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of I3 Verticals. If investors know IIIV will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about I3 Verticals listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.96)
Earnings Share
0.07
Revenue Per Share
16.207
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.007
Return On Assets
0.0271
The market value of i3 Verticals is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of IIIV that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of I3 Verticals' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is I3 Verticals' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because I3 Verticals' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect I3 Verticals' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between I3 Verticals' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if I3 Verticals is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, I3 Verticals' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.