ICC International (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 45.5
| ICC Stock | THB 51.75 0.25 0.48% |
ICC |
ICC International Target Price Odds to finish below 45.5
The tendency of ICC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 45.50 or more in 90 days |
| 51.75 | 90 days | 45.50 | about 44.15 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ICC International to drop to 45.50 or more in 90 days from now is about 44.15 (This ICC International Public probability density function shows the probability of ICC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ICC International Public price to stay between 45.50 and its current price of 51.75 at the end of the 90-day period is about 53.98 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ICC International Public has a beta of -0.54. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding ICC International are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, ICC International Public is likely to outperform the market. Additionally ICC International Public has an alpha of 0.2666, implying that it can generate a 0.27 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). ICC International Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for ICC International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ICC International Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ICC International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
ICC International Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ICC International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ICC International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ICC International Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ICC International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.27 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.54 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.75 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
ICC International Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ICC International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ICC International Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 72.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
ICC International Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ICC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ICC International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ICC International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 291 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 39.2 M |
ICC International Technical Analysis
ICC International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ICC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ICC International Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing ICC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
ICC International Predictive Forecast Models
ICC International's time-series forecasting models is one of many ICC International's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ICC International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about ICC International Public
Checking the ongoing alerts about ICC International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ICC International Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 72.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Check out ICC International Backtesting, ICC International Valuation, ICC International Correlation, ICC International Hype Analysis, ICC International Volatility, ICC International History as well as ICC International Performance. Note that the ICC International Public information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other ICC International's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.
Complementary Tools for ICC Stock analysis
When running ICC International's price analysis, check to measure ICC International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ICC International is operating at the current time. Most of ICC International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ICC International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ICC International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ICC International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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