Holley Inc Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.91
| HLLY Stock | USD 3.91 0.02 0.51% |
Holley |
Holley Target Price Odds to finish over 3.91
The tendency of Holley Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 3.91 | 90 days | 3.91 | under 95 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Holley to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 95 (This Holley Inc probability density function shows the probability of Holley Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.24 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Holley will likely underperform. Additionally Holley Inc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Holley Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Holley
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Holley Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Holley's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Holley Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Holley is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Holley's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Holley Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Holley within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.28 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.24 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.20 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Holley Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Holley for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Holley Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Holley Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 90.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Holley Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Holley Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Holley's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Holley's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 118.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 41.1 M |
Holley Technical Analysis
Holley's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Holley Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Holley Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Holley Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Holley Predictive Forecast Models
Holley's time-series forecasting models is one of many Holley's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Holley's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Holley Inc
Checking the ongoing alerts about Holley for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Holley Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Holley Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 90.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Check out Holley Backtesting, Holley Valuation, Holley Correlation, Holley Hype Analysis, Holley Volatility, Holley History as well as Holley Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.
Complementary Tools for Holley Stock analysis
When running Holley's price analysis, check to measure Holley's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Holley is operating at the current time. Most of Holley's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Holley's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Holley's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Holley to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Holley's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Holley. If investors know Holley will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Holley listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Holley Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Holley that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Holley's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Holley's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Holley's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Holley's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Holley's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Holley is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Holley's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.