Gunawan Dianjaya (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 99.00
| GDST Stock | IDR 99.00 2.00 2.06% |
Gunawan |
Gunawan Dianjaya Target Price Odds to finish over 99.00
The tendency of Gunawan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 99.00 | 90 days | 99.00 | about 88.58 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gunawan Dianjaya to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 88.58 (This Gunawan Dianjaya Steel probability density function shows the probability of Gunawan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Gunawan Dianjaya has a beta of 0.66. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Gunawan Dianjaya average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Gunawan Dianjaya Steel will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Gunawan Dianjaya Steel has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Gunawan Dianjaya Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Gunawan Dianjaya
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gunawan Dianjaya Steel. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gunawan Dianjaya's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Gunawan Dianjaya Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gunawan Dianjaya is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gunawan Dianjaya's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gunawan Dianjaya Steel, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gunawan Dianjaya within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.48 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.66 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 13.45 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
Gunawan Dianjaya Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gunawan Dianjaya for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gunawan Dianjaya Steel can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Gunawan Dianjaya generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Gunawan Dianjaya has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.59 T. Net Loss for the year was (63.71 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 75.27 B. | |
| About 89.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Gunawan Dianjaya Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Gunawan Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Gunawan Dianjaya's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gunawan Dianjaya's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 8.5 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 12.3 B |
Gunawan Dianjaya Technical Analysis
Gunawan Dianjaya's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gunawan Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gunawan Dianjaya Steel. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gunawan Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Gunawan Dianjaya Predictive Forecast Models
Gunawan Dianjaya's time-series forecasting models is one of many Gunawan Dianjaya's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gunawan Dianjaya's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Gunawan Dianjaya Steel
Checking the ongoing alerts about Gunawan Dianjaya for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Gunawan Dianjaya Steel help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Gunawan Dianjaya generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Gunawan Dianjaya has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.59 T. Net Loss for the year was (63.71 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 75.27 B. | |
| About 89.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Check out Gunawan Dianjaya Backtesting, Gunawan Dianjaya Valuation, Gunawan Dianjaya Correlation, Gunawan Dianjaya Hype Analysis, Gunawan Dianjaya Volatility, Gunawan Dianjaya History as well as Gunawan Dianjaya Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Complementary Tools for Gunawan Stock analysis
When running Gunawan Dianjaya's price analysis, check to measure Gunawan Dianjaya's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gunawan Dianjaya is operating at the current time. Most of Gunawan Dianjaya's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gunawan Dianjaya's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gunawan Dianjaya's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gunawan Dianjaya to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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