Gabriel Holding (Denmark) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 246.57
| GABR Stock | DKK 272.00 2.00 0.74% |
Gabriel |
Gabriel Holding Target Price Odds to finish below 246.57
The tendency of Gabriel Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to kr 246.57 or more in 90 days |
| 272.00 | 90 days | 246.57 | under 4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gabriel Holding to drop to kr 246.57 or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Gabriel Holding probability density function shows the probability of Gabriel Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Gabriel Holding price to stay between kr 246.57 and its current price of kr272.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 84.75 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Gabriel Holding has a beta of -0.0049. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Gabriel Holding are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Gabriel Holding is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Gabriel Holding has an alpha of 0.0971, implying that it can generate a 0.0971 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Gabriel Holding Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Gabriel Holding
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gabriel Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gabriel Holding's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Gabriel Holding Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gabriel Holding is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gabriel Holding's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gabriel Holding, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gabriel Holding within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.1 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.0049 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 8.59 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Gabriel Holding Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gabriel Holding for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gabriel Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company has kr38.92 Million in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing |
Gabriel Holding Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Gabriel Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Gabriel Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gabriel Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.9 M |
Gabriel Holding Technical Analysis
Gabriel Holding's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gabriel Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gabriel Holding. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gabriel Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Gabriel Holding Predictive Forecast Models
Gabriel Holding's time-series forecasting models is one of many Gabriel Holding's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gabriel Holding's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Gabriel Holding
Checking the ongoing alerts about Gabriel Holding for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Gabriel Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company has kr38.92 Million in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing |
Other Information on Investing in Gabriel Stock
Gabriel Holding financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gabriel Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gabriel with respect to the benefits of owning Gabriel Holding security.