Gabriel Holding Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average
| GABR Stock | DKK 272.00 2.00 0.74% |
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Gabriel Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 271.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.62 and the sum of the absolute errors of 206.50. Gabriel Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Gabriel Holding stock prices and determine the direction of Gabriel Holding's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Gabriel Holding's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Gabriel Holding to cross-verify your projections. Gabriel |
Most investors in Gabriel Holding cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Gabriel Holding's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Gabriel Holding's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A four-period moving average forecast model for Gabriel Holding is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility. Gabriel Holding 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 9th of June
Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Gabriel Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 271.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.62, mean absolute percentage error of 20.34, and the sum of the absolute errors of 206.50.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Gabriel Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Gabriel Holding's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Gabriel Holding Stock Forecast Pattern
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Gabriel Holding Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Gabriel Holding's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Gabriel Holding's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 269.25 and 272.75, respectively. We have considered Gabriel Holding's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Gabriel Holding stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Gabriel Holding stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.7715 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.5702 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 3.6228 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0138 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 206.5 |
Predictive Modules for Gabriel Holding
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gabriel Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gabriel Holding's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Gabriel Holding
For every potential investor in Gabriel, whether a beginner or expert, Gabriel Holding's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Gabriel Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Gabriel. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Gabriel Holding's price trends.Gabriel Holding Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Gabriel Holding stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Gabriel Holding could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Gabriel Holding by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Gabriel Holding Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Gabriel Holding's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Gabriel Holding's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Gabriel Holding Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Gabriel Holding stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Gabriel Holding shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Gabriel Holding stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Gabriel Holding entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Gabriel Holding Risk Indicators
The analysis of Gabriel Holding's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Gabriel Holding's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting gabriel stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.21 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.39 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.77 | |||
| Variance | 3.13 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.89 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.94 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.59) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Gabriel Holding financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gabriel Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gabriel with respect to the benefits of owning Gabriel Holding security.