Finwise Bancorp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 10.42

FINW Stock  USD 10.42  0.06  0.57%   
Finwise Bancorp's future price is the expected price of Finwise Bancorp instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Finwise Bancorp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Finwise Bancorp Backtesting, Finwise Bancorp Valuation, Finwise Bancorp Correlation, Finwise Bancorp Hype Analysis, Finwise Bancorp Volatility, Finwise Bancorp History as well as Finwise Bancorp Performance.
For more information on how to buy Finwise Stock please use our How to Invest in Finwise Bancorp guide.
  
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Finwise Bancorp Target Price Odds to finish over 10.42

The tendency of Finwise Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 10.42 90 days 10.42 
about 24.59
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Finwise Bancorp to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 24.59 (This Finwise Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of Finwise Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Finwise Bancorp has a beta of -0.2. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Finwise Bancorp are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Finwise Bancorp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Finwise Bancorp has an alpha of 0.1884, implying that it can generate a 0.19 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Finwise Bancorp Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Finwise Bancorp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Finwise Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Finwise Bancorp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.9110.4212.93
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.988.4911.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.6110.1212.63
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.3110.5810.86
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Finwise Bancorp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Finwise Bancorp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Finwise Bancorp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Finwise Bancorp.

Finwise Bancorp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Finwise Bancorp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Finwise Bancorp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Finwise Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Finwise Bancorp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.19
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.2
σ
Overall volatility
0.48
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Finwise Bancorp Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Finwise Bancorp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Finwise Bancorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 30.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Finwise Bancorp Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Finwise Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Finwise Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Finwise Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding12.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments-411 K

Finwise Bancorp Technical Analysis

Finwise Bancorp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Finwise Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Finwise Bancorp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Finwise Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Finwise Bancorp Predictive Forecast Models

Finwise Bancorp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Finwise Bancorp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Finwise Bancorp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Finwise Bancorp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Finwise Bancorp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Finwise Bancorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 30.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
When determining whether Finwise Bancorp is a strong investment it is important to analyze Finwise Bancorp's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Finwise Bancorp's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Finwise Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Finwise Bancorp Backtesting, Finwise Bancorp Valuation, Finwise Bancorp Correlation, Finwise Bancorp Hype Analysis, Finwise Bancorp Volatility, Finwise Bancorp History as well as Finwise Bancorp Performance.
For more information on how to buy Finwise Stock please use our How to Invest in Finwise Bancorp guide.
You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.

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When running Finwise Bancorp's price analysis, check to measure Finwise Bancorp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Finwise Bancorp is operating at the current time. Most of Finwise Bancorp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Finwise Bancorp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Finwise Bancorp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Finwise Bancorp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Finwise Bancorp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Finwise Bancorp. If investors know Finwise will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Finwise Bancorp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Finwise Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Finwise that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Finwise Bancorp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Finwise Bancorp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Finwise Bancorp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Finwise Bancorp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Finwise Bancorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Finwise Bancorp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Finwise Bancorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.