5e Advanced Materials Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.46
| FEAM Stock | USD 1.46 0.01 0.69% |
Closest to current price FEAM long PUT Option Payoff at Expiration
FEAM |
5E Advanced Target Price Odds to finish over 1.46
The tendency of FEAM Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 1.46 | 90 days | 1.46 | about 29.83 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 5E Advanced to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 29.83 (This 5E Advanced Materials probability density function shows the probability of FEAM Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.87 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, 5E Advanced will likely underperform. Additionally 5E Advanced Materials has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. 5E Advanced Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for 5E Advanced
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as 5E Advanced Materials. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of 5E Advanced's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
5E Advanced Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 5E Advanced is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 5E Advanced's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold 5E Advanced Materials, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 5E Advanced within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.07 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.87 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.17 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
5E Advanced Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 5E Advanced for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for 5E Advanced Materials can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| 5E Advanced had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| 5E Advanced may become a speculative penny stock | |
| 5E Advanced has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (30.62 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (9.99 M). | |
| 5E Advanced Materials currently holds about 31.06 M in cash with (30.7 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.07. | |
| Roughly 21.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Acquisition by Salisbury David J of 1981 shares of 5E Advanced subject to Rule 16b-3 |
5E Advanced Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of FEAM Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential 5E Advanced's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. 5E Advanced's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 43.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 20.3 M |
5E Advanced Technical Analysis
5E Advanced's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FEAM Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of 5E Advanced Materials. In general, you should focus on analyzing FEAM Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
5E Advanced Predictive Forecast Models
5E Advanced's time-series forecasting models is one of many 5E Advanced's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 5E Advanced's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about 5E Advanced Materials
Checking the ongoing alerts about 5E Advanced for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for 5E Advanced Materials help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| 5E Advanced had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| 5E Advanced may become a speculative penny stock | |
| 5E Advanced has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (30.62 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (9.99 M). | |
| 5E Advanced Materials currently holds about 31.06 M in cash with (30.7 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.07. | |
| Roughly 21.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Acquisition by Salisbury David J of 1981 shares of 5E Advanced subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in FEAM Stock
When determining whether 5E Advanced Materials is a strong investment it is important to analyze 5E Advanced's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact 5E Advanced's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding FEAM Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out 5E Advanced Backtesting, 5E Advanced Valuation, 5E Advanced Correlation, 5E Advanced Hype Analysis, 5E Advanced Volatility, 5E Advanced History as well as 5E Advanced Performance. You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.
Is Diversified Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of 5E Advanced. If investors know FEAM will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about 5E Advanced listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (1.17) | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.56) | Return On Assets (0.18) | Return On Equity (1.27) |
The market value of 5E Advanced Materials is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of FEAM that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of 5E Advanced's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is 5E Advanced's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because 5E Advanced's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect 5E Advanced's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between 5E Advanced's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 5E Advanced is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 5E Advanced's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.