Meta Platforms (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 414.00
| FB2A Stock | EUR 414.00 2.00 0.49% |
Meta |
Meta Platforms Target Price Odds to finish over 414.00
The tendency of Meta Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 414.00 | 90 days | 414.00 | about 82.7 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Meta Platforms to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 82.7 (This Meta Platforms probability density function shows the probability of Meta Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Meta Platforms has a beta of 0.53. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Meta Platforms average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Meta Platforms will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Meta Platforms has an alpha of 0.2161, implying that it can generate a 0.22 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Meta Platforms Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Meta Platforms
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Meta Platforms. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Meta Platforms' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Meta Platforms Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Meta Platforms is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Meta Platforms' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Meta Platforms, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Meta Platforms within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.22 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.53 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 32.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Meta Platforms Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Meta Platforms for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Meta Platforms can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Meta Platforms had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Over 76.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Meta Platforms Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Meta Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Meta Platforms' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Meta Platforms' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.6 B |
Meta Platforms Technical Analysis
Meta Platforms' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Meta Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Meta Platforms. In general, you should focus on analyzing Meta Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Meta Platforms Predictive Forecast Models
Meta Platforms' time-series forecasting models is one of many Meta Platforms' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Meta Platforms' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Meta Platforms
Checking the ongoing alerts about Meta Platforms for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Meta Platforms help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Meta Platforms had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Over 76.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Check out Meta Platforms Backtesting, Meta Platforms Valuation, Meta Platforms Correlation, Meta Platforms Hype Analysis, Meta Platforms Volatility, Meta Platforms History as well as Meta Platforms Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Meta Stock please use our How to Invest in Meta Platforms guide.Note that the Meta Platforms information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Meta Platforms' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.
Complementary Tools for Meta Stock analysis
When running Meta Platforms' price analysis, check to measure Meta Platforms' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Meta Platforms is operating at the current time. Most of Meta Platforms' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Meta Platforms' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Meta Platforms' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Meta Platforms to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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