Enterprise Financial Services Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 38.80
| EFSC Stock | USD 38.80 0.09 0.23% |
Closest to current price Enterprise long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Enterprise |
Enterprise Financial Target Price Odds to finish over 38.80
The tendency of Enterprise Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 38.80 | 90 days | 38.80 | about 73.85 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Enterprise Financial to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 73.85 (This Enterprise Financial Services probability density function shows the probability of Enterprise Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.44 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Enterprise Financial will likely underperform. Additionally Enterprise Financial Services has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Enterprise Financial Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Enterprise Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Enterprise Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Enterprise Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Enterprise Financial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Enterprise Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Enterprise Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Enterprise Financial Services, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Enterprise Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.21 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.44 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.19 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Enterprise Financial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Enterprise Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Enterprise Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Enterprise Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Enterprise Financial has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 73.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Heres Why Shareholders May Want To Be Cautious With Increasing Enterprise Financial Services Corps CEO Pay Packet |
Enterprise Financial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Enterprise Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Enterprise Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Enterprise Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 37.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | -193.3 M |
Enterprise Financial Technical Analysis
Enterprise Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Enterprise Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Enterprise Financial Services. In general, you should focus on analyzing Enterprise Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Enterprise Financial Predictive Forecast Models
Enterprise Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Enterprise Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Enterprise Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Enterprise Financial
Checking the ongoing alerts about Enterprise Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Enterprise Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Enterprise Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Enterprise Financial has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 73.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Heres Why Shareholders May Want To Be Cautious With Increasing Enterprise Financial Services Corps CEO Pay Packet |
Check out Enterprise Financial Backtesting, Enterprise Financial Valuation, Enterprise Financial Correlation, Enterprise Financial Hype Analysis, Enterprise Financial Volatility, Enterprise Financial History as well as Enterprise Financial Performance. You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.
Complementary Tools for Enterprise Stock analysis
When running Enterprise Financial's price analysis, check to measure Enterprise Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Enterprise Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Enterprise Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Enterprise Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Enterprise Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Enterprise Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Portfolio Suggestion Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios | |
| Economic Indicators Top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing | |
| Performance Analysis Check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation | |
| Equity Forecasting Use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum | |
| Portfolio Volatility Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk | |
| Idea Breakdown Analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes |
Is Enterprise Financial's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Enterprise Financial. If investors know Enterprise will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Enterprise Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.28) | Dividend Share 1 | Earnings Share 4.66 | Revenue Per Share 15.539 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.03) |
The market value of Enterprise Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Enterprise that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Enterprise Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Enterprise Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Enterprise Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Enterprise Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Enterprise Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Enterprise Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Enterprise Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.