Centrais Electricas Brasileiras Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 7.35
| EBR Stock | USD 7.35 0.06 0.82% |
Centrais |
Centrais Electricas Target Price Odds to finish over 7.35
The tendency of Centrais Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 7.35 | 90 days | 7.35 | about 88.36 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Centrais Electricas to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 88.36 (This Centrais Electricas Brasileiras probability density function shows the probability of Centrais Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Centrais Electricas has a beta of 0.47 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Centrais Electricas average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Centrais Electricas Brasileiras will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Centrais Electricas Brasileiras has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Centrais Electricas Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Centrais Electricas
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Centrais Electricas. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Centrais Electricas' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Centrais Electricas Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Centrais Electricas is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Centrais Electricas' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Centrais Electricas Brasileiras, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Centrais Electricas within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.23 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.47 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.57 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
Centrais Electricas Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Centrais Electricas for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Centrais Electricas can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Centrais Electricas generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Centrais Electricas is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| On 16th of May 2024 Centrais Electricas paid $ 0.079 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: EMERGING MARKETS-Brazils real, stocks fall after small rate cut |
Centrais Electricas Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Centrais Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Centrais Electricas' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Centrais Electricas' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.3 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 19.4 B |
Centrais Electricas Technical Analysis
Centrais Electricas' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Centrais Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Centrais Electricas Brasileiras. In general, you should focus on analyzing Centrais Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Centrais Electricas Predictive Forecast Models
Centrais Electricas' time-series forecasting models is one of many Centrais Electricas' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Centrais Electricas' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Centrais Electricas
Checking the ongoing alerts about Centrais Electricas for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Centrais Electricas help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Centrais Electricas generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Centrais Electricas is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| On 16th of May 2024 Centrais Electricas paid $ 0.079 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: EMERGING MARKETS-Brazils real, stocks fall after small rate cut |
Check out Centrais Electricas Backtesting, Centrais Electricas Valuation, Centrais Electricas Correlation, Centrais Electricas Hype Analysis, Centrais Electricas Volatility, Centrais Electricas History as well as Centrais Electricas Performance. Note that the Centrais Electricas information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Centrais Electricas' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
Complementary Tools for Centrais Stock analysis
When running Centrais Electricas' price analysis, check to measure Centrais Electricas' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Centrais Electricas is operating at the current time. Most of Centrais Electricas' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Centrais Electricas' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Centrais Electricas' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Centrais Electricas to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Centrais Electricas' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Centrais Electricas. If investors know Centrais will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Centrais Electricas listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.33) | Dividend Share 1.823 | Earnings Share 0.4 | Revenue Per Share 16.133 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.05) |
The market value of Centrais Electricas is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Centrais that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Centrais Electricas' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Centrais Electricas' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Centrais Electricas' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Centrais Electricas' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Centrais Electricas' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Centrais Electricas is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Centrais Electricas' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.