Delaware Small Cap Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 26.18
| DCCAX Fund | USD 26.18 0.16 0.61% |
Delaware |
Delaware Small Target Price Odds to finish over 26.18
The tendency of Delaware Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 26.18 | 90 days | 26.18 | about 76.71 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Delaware Small to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 76.71 (This Delaware Small Cap probability density function shows the probability of Delaware Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Delaware Small Cap has a beta of -0.16 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Delaware Small are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Delaware Small Cap is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Delaware Small Cap has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Delaware Small Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Delaware Small
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Delaware Small Cap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Delaware Small's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Delaware Small Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Delaware Small is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Delaware Small's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Delaware Small Cap, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Delaware Small within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.01 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.48 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Delaware Small Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Delaware Small for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Delaware Small Cap can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Delaware Small Cap generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund generated three year return of -2.0% | |
| Delaware Small Cap retains 97.67% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Delaware Small Technical Analysis
Delaware Small's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Delaware Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Delaware Small Cap. In general, you should focus on analyzing Delaware Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Delaware Small Predictive Forecast Models
Delaware Small's time-series forecasting models is one of many Delaware Small's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Delaware Small's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Delaware Small Cap
Checking the ongoing alerts about Delaware Small for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Delaware Small Cap help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Delaware Small Cap generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund generated three year return of -2.0% | |
| Delaware Small Cap retains 97.67% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Check out Delaware Small Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Delaware Small Correlation, Delaware Small Hype Analysis, Delaware Small Volatility, Delaware Small History as well as Delaware Small Performance. Note that the Delaware Small Cap information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Delaware Small's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.