Columbia Amt Free Oregon Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 11.51

COEAX Fund  USD 11.48  0.01  0.09%   
Columbia Amt's future price is the expected price of Columbia Amt instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Columbia Amt Free Oregon performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Columbia Amt Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Columbia Amt Correlation, Columbia Amt Hype Analysis, Columbia Amt Volatility, Columbia Amt History as well as Columbia Amt Performance.
  
Please specify Columbia Amt's target price for which you would like Columbia Amt odds to be computed.

Columbia Amt Target Price Odds to finish below 11.51

The tendency of Columbia Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 11.51  after 90 days
 11.48 90 days 11.51 
about 7.88
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Columbia Amt to stay under $ 11.51  after 90 days from now is about 7.88 (This Columbia Amt Free Oregon probability density function shows the probability of Columbia Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Columbia Amt Free price to stay between its current price of $ 11.48  and $ 11.51  at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.72 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Columbia Amt has a beta of 0.0067 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Columbia Amt average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Columbia Amt Free Oregon will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Columbia Amt Free Oregon has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Columbia Amt Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Columbia Amt

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Columbia Amt Free. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Columbia Amt's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.3711.4811.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.2711.3811.49
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.3711.4811.58
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.4311.4811.51
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Columbia Amt. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Columbia Amt's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Columbia Amt's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Columbia Amt Free.

Columbia Amt Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Columbia Amt is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Columbia Amt's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Columbia Amt Free Oregon, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Columbia Amt within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.02
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.01
σ
Overall volatility
0.04
Ir
Information ratio -0.54

Columbia Amt Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Columbia Amt for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Columbia Amt Free can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Columbia Amt Free generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund generated three year return of -1.0%
Columbia Amt Free holds most of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments.

Columbia Amt Technical Analysis

Columbia Amt's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Columbia Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Columbia Amt Free Oregon. In general, you should focus on analyzing Columbia Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Columbia Amt Predictive Forecast Models

Columbia Amt's time-series forecasting models is one of many Columbia Amt's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Columbia Amt's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Columbia Amt Free

Checking the ongoing alerts about Columbia Amt for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Columbia Amt Free help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Columbia Amt Free generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund generated three year return of -1.0%
Columbia Amt Free holds most of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments.
Check out Columbia Amt Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Columbia Amt Correlation, Columbia Amt Hype Analysis, Columbia Amt Volatility, Columbia Amt History as well as Columbia Amt Performance.
Note that the Columbia Amt Free information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Columbia Amt's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Columbia Amt's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Columbia Amt is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Columbia Amt's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.