Core Molding Technologies Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 19.37
| CMT Stock | USD 19.37 0.71 3.80% |
Core |
Core Molding Target Price Odds to finish over 19.37
The tendency of Core Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 19.37 | 90 days | 19.37 | about 11.81 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Core Molding to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 11.81 (This Core Molding Technologies probability density function shows the probability of Core Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Core Molding Technologies has a beta of -0.59 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Core Molding are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Core Molding Technologies is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Core Molding Technologies has an alpha of 0.225, implying that it can generate a 0.23 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Core Molding Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Core Molding
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Core Molding Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Core Molding's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Core Molding Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Core Molding is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Core Molding's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Core Molding Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Core Molding within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.23 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.59 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.92 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Core Molding Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Core Molding for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Core Molding Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 61.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Core Molding Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Core Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Core Molding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Core Molding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 8.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 24.1 M |
Core Molding Technical Analysis
Core Molding's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Core Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Core Molding Technologies. In general, you should focus on analyzing Core Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Core Molding Predictive Forecast Models
Core Molding's time-series forecasting models is one of many Core Molding's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Core Molding's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Core Molding Technologies
Checking the ongoing alerts about Core Molding for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Core Molding Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 61.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Check out Core Molding Backtesting, Core Molding Valuation, Core Molding Correlation, Core Molding Hype Analysis, Core Molding Volatility, Core Molding History as well as Core Molding Performance. You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..
Complementary Tools for Core Stock analysis
When running Core Molding's price analysis, check to measure Core Molding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Core Molding is operating at the current time. Most of Core Molding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Core Molding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Core Molding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Core Molding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Core Molding's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Core Molding. If investors know Core will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Core Molding listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Core Molding Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Core that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Core Molding's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Core Molding's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Core Molding's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Core Molding's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Core Molding's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Core Molding is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Core Molding's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.