Choice Hotels International Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 116.35
| CHH Stock | USD 120.01 0.89 0.75% |
Closest to current price Choice long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Choice |
Choice Hotels Target Price Odds to finish over 116.35
The tendency of Choice Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 116.35 in 90 days |
| 120.01 | 90 days | 116.35 | about 78.84 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Choice Hotels to stay above $ 116.35 in 90 days from now is about 78.84 (This Choice Hotels International probability density function shows the probability of Choice Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Choice Hotels Intern price to stay between $ 116.35 and its current price of $120.01 at the end of the 90-day period is about 25.69 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Choice Hotels has a beta of 0.89 suggesting Choice Hotels International market returns are responsive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Choice Hotels is expected to follow. Additionally Choice Hotels International has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Choice Hotels Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Choice Hotels
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Choice Hotels Intern. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Choice Hotels' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Choice Hotels Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Choice Hotels is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Choice Hotels' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Choice Hotels International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Choice Hotels within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.89 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Choice Hotels Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Choice Hotels for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Choice Hotels Intern can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 66.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 17th of April 2024 Choice Hotels paid $ 0.2875 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Hyatt Hotels Earnings Expected to Grow Should You Buy |
Choice Hotels Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Choice Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Choice Hotels' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Choice Hotels' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 50.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 26.8 M |
Choice Hotels Technical Analysis
Choice Hotels' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Choice Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Choice Hotels International. In general, you should focus on analyzing Choice Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Choice Hotels Predictive Forecast Models
Choice Hotels' time-series forecasting models is one of many Choice Hotels' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Choice Hotels' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Choice Hotels Intern
Checking the ongoing alerts about Choice Hotels for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Choice Hotels Intern help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 66.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 17th of April 2024 Choice Hotels paid $ 0.2875 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Hyatt Hotels Earnings Expected to Grow Should You Buy |
Check out Choice Hotels Backtesting, Choice Hotels Valuation, Choice Hotels Correlation, Choice Hotels Hype Analysis, Choice Hotels Volatility, Choice Hotels History as well as Choice Hotels Performance. Note that the Choice Hotels Intern information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Choice Hotels' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
Complementary Tools for Choice Stock analysis
When running Choice Hotels' price analysis, check to measure Choice Hotels' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Choice Hotels is operating at the current time. Most of Choice Hotels' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Choice Hotels' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Choice Hotels' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Choice Hotels to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Choice Hotels' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Choice Hotels. If investors know Choice will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Choice Hotels listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.44) | Dividend Share 1.15 | Earnings Share 5.07 | Revenue Per Share 14.646 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.11) |
The market value of Choice Hotels Intern is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Choice that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Choice Hotels' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Choice Hotels' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Choice Hotels' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Choice Hotels' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Choice Hotels' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Choice Hotels is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Choice Hotels' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.