Choice Hotels International Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| CHH Stock | USD 119.06 1.92 1.64% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding Choice Hotels International is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Choice Hotels buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding CHH positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Choice Hotels' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Choice Hotels' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 124.25 | Target Price 129.2 | Hype Value 119.07 | Market Value 119.06 | Naive Value 122.4 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Choice Hotels International given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Choice Hotels. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Choice Hotels International, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Choice |
Execute Choice Hotels Buy or Sell Advice
The Choice recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Choice Hotels International. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Choice Hotels International or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Choice Hotels' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost mirrors the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Choice Hotels Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Choice Hotels Intern generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 67.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 17th of April 2024 Choice Hotels paid $ 0.2875 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Amazon Bedrock Launches New Capabilities as Tens of Thousands of Customers Choose It as the Foundation to Build and Scale Secure Generative AI Applications |
Choice Hotels Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Choice Hotels' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Choice Hotels' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Choice Hotels daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Choice Hotels International price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Choice Hotels returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Choice Hotels.
| Mean Return | 0.02 | Value At Risk | -2.46 | Potential Upside | 2.46 | Standard Deviation | 1.65 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Choice Hotels historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Choice Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Choice Hotels is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Choice Hotels International backward and forwards among themselves. Choice Hotels' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Choice Hotels' securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Two Sigma Investments Llc | 2023-12-31 | 539.9 K | Two Sigma Advisers, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 503.9 K | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 411.8 K | Wells Fargo & Co | 2023-12-31 | 410.6 K | Millennium Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 400.8 K | Macquarie Group Ltd | 2023-12-31 | 397.2 K | Fort Washington Investment Advisors Inc | 2023-12-31 | 366.6 K | T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc. | 2023-12-31 | 349.4 K | Amvescap Plc. | 2023-12-31 | 331.5 K | Bamco Inc | 2023-12-31 | 4.8 M | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2023-12-31 | 3 M |
Choice Hotels Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 7.1M | 201.0M | 276.8M | (470.0M) | (14.8M) | (14.1M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 206.5M | 75.1M | 305.8M | 273.5M | 178.3M | 138.8M | |
| Depreciation | 36.1M | 48.5M | 50.5M | 63.9M | 75.7M | 79.5M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 6.0M | 14.9M | (13.7M) | (47.3M) | (89.3M) | (84.8M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 64.0M | 40.0M | 77.9M | 93.6M | 118.3M | 124.2M | |
| Net Income | 222.9M | 75.4M | 289.0M | 332.2M | 258.5M | 129.6M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 33.8M | 234.8M | 511.6M | 41.6M | 26.8M | 25.4M | |
| Dividends Paid | 48.7M | 48.1M | 25.3M | 52.5M | 56.5M | 73.3M | |
| Change To Netincome | 50.7M | 1.9M | 7.8M | (35.4M) | (31.9M) | (30.3M) | |
| Investments | (15.1M) | 2.0M | (78.9M) | (442.4M) | (62.0M) | (65.1M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 89.2M | 185.9M | (365K) | 87.4M | 78.7M | 52.9M |
Choice Hotels Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Choice Hotels or Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Choice Hotels' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Choice stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.07 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.97 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.66 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Choice Hotels Volatility Alert
Choice Hotels International has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.93 and kurtosis of 2.19. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Choice Hotels' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Choice Hotels' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Choice Hotels Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Choice Hotels' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Choice Hotels' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Choice Hotels and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Choice Hotels or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Choice Hotels' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Choice Hotels by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Choice Hotels to competition |
| Fundamentals | Choice Hotels | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 2.72 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.11 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.35 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.29 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 7.41 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 49.67 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 38.24 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 66.71 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 5.27 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 89.21 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 169.53 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 8.19 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 1.54 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 700.05 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 531.57 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 258.51 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 41.57 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 10.96 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 1.68 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 2.62 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.69 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 0.72 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 296.55 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 6.91 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 5.07 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.23 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 129.36 | |
| Number Of Employees | 1.84 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.21 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 5.82 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 2.39 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 1.76 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (646.16 M) | 1.48 B |
Note: Discretionary transaction by Bainum Roberta of tradable shares of Choice Hotels subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Choice Hotels Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Choice . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 17359.38 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.5424 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 118.84 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 118.91 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 1.18 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 1.92 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 42.06 |
About Choice Hotels Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Choice Hotels International? Buying financial instruments such as Choice Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 1.1B | 1.3B | 1.7B | 1.8B | Total Assets | 1.9B | 2.1B | 2.4B | 2.5B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Choice Hotels in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Office Supplies Thematic Idea Now
Office Supplies
Companies producing and selling office supplies, and accessories. The Office Supplies theme has 46 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Office Supplies Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Choice Hotels Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Choice Hotels Intern information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Choice Hotels' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Top Crypto Exchanges module to search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges.
Complementary Tools for Choice Stock analysis
When running Choice Hotels' price analysis, check to measure Choice Hotels' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Choice Hotels is operating at the current time. Most of Choice Hotels' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Choice Hotels' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Choice Hotels' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Choice Hotels to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Choice Hotels' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Choice Hotels. If investors know Choice will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Choice Hotels listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.44) | Dividend Share 1.15 | Earnings Share 5.07 | Revenue Per Share 14.646 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.11) |
The market value of Choice Hotels Intern is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Choice that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Choice Hotels' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Choice Hotels' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Choice Hotels' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Choice Hotels' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Choice Hotels' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Choice Hotels is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Choice Hotels' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.