Barem Ambalaj (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 19.37

BARMA Stock   19.37  0.63  3.15%   
Barem Ambalaj's future price is the expected price of Barem Ambalaj instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Barem Ambalaj Sanayi performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Barem Ambalaj Backtesting, Barem Ambalaj Valuation, Barem Ambalaj Correlation, Barem Ambalaj Hype Analysis, Barem Ambalaj Volatility, Barem Ambalaj History as well as Barem Ambalaj Performance.
  
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Barem Ambalaj Target Price Odds to finish over 19.37

The tendency of Barem Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 19.37 90 days 19.37 
about 71.88
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Barem Ambalaj to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 71.88 (This Barem Ambalaj Sanayi probability density function shows the probability of Barem Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Barem Ambalaj Sanayi has a beta of -0.24 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Barem Ambalaj are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Barem Ambalaj Sanayi is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Barem Ambalaj Sanayi has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Barem Ambalaj Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Barem Ambalaj

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Barem Ambalaj Sanayi. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Barem Ambalaj's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.2619.3722.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.5316.6419.75
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.6418.7521.86
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
17.1419.9022.66
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Barem Ambalaj. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Barem Ambalaj's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Barem Ambalaj's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Barem Ambalaj Sanayi.

Barem Ambalaj Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Barem Ambalaj is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Barem Ambalaj's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Barem Ambalaj Sanayi, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Barem Ambalaj within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.06
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.24
σ
Overall volatility
1.45
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Barem Ambalaj Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Barem Ambalaj for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Barem Ambalaj Sanayi can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Barem Ambalaj Sanayi generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Barem Ambalaj Sanayi has high historical volatility and very poor performance

Barem Ambalaj Technical Analysis

Barem Ambalaj's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Barem Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Barem Ambalaj Sanayi. In general, you should focus on analyzing Barem Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Barem Ambalaj Predictive Forecast Models

Barem Ambalaj's time-series forecasting models is one of many Barem Ambalaj's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Barem Ambalaj's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Barem Ambalaj Sanayi

Checking the ongoing alerts about Barem Ambalaj for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Barem Ambalaj Sanayi help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Barem Ambalaj Sanayi generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Barem Ambalaj Sanayi has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Check out Barem Ambalaj Backtesting, Barem Ambalaj Valuation, Barem Ambalaj Correlation, Barem Ambalaj Hype Analysis, Barem Ambalaj Volatility, Barem Ambalaj History as well as Barem Ambalaj Performance.
Note that the Barem Ambalaj Sanayi information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Barem Ambalaj's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Top Crypto Exchanges module to search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges.

Complementary Tools for Barem Stock analysis

When running Barem Ambalaj's price analysis, check to measure Barem Ambalaj's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Barem Ambalaj is operating at the current time. Most of Barem Ambalaj's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Barem Ambalaj's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Barem Ambalaj's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Barem Ambalaj to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Barem Ambalaj's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Barem Ambalaj is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Barem Ambalaj's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.