Anabatic Technologies (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 380.00

ATIC Stock  IDR 380.00  2.00  0.53%   
Anabatic Technologies' future price is the expected price of Anabatic Technologies instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Anabatic Technologies Tbk performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Anabatic Technologies Backtesting, Anabatic Technologies Valuation, Anabatic Technologies Correlation, Anabatic Technologies Hype Analysis, Anabatic Technologies Volatility, Anabatic Technologies History as well as Anabatic Technologies Performance.
  
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Anabatic Technologies Target Price Odds to finish over 380.00

The tendency of Anabatic Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 380.00 90 days 380.00 
about 74.99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Anabatic Technologies to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 74.99 (This Anabatic Technologies Tbk probability density function shows the probability of Anabatic Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Anabatic Technologies Tbk has a beta of -0.61. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Anabatic Technologies are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Anabatic Technologies Tbk is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Anabatic Technologies Tbk has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Anabatic Technologies Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Anabatic Technologies

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Anabatic Technologies Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Anabatic Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
378.44380.00381.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
321.00322.56418.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
367.37368.93370.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
368.89381.14393.40
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Anabatic Technologies. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Anabatic Technologies' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Anabatic Technologies' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Anabatic Technologies Tbk.

Anabatic Technologies Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Anabatic Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Anabatic Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Anabatic Technologies Tbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Anabatic Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.09
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.61
σ
Overall volatility
11.69
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

Anabatic Technologies Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Anabatic Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Anabatic Technologies Tbk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Anabatic Technologies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 6.46 T. Net Loss for the year was (275.6 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 955.02 B.
Anabatic Technologies generates negative cash flow from operations
About 84.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Anabatic Technologies Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Anabatic Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Anabatic Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Anabatic Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.3 B
Cash And Short Term Investments493.9 B

Anabatic Technologies Technical Analysis

Anabatic Technologies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Anabatic Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Anabatic Technologies Tbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing Anabatic Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Anabatic Technologies Predictive Forecast Models

Anabatic Technologies' time-series forecasting models is one of many Anabatic Technologies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Anabatic Technologies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Anabatic Technologies Tbk

Checking the ongoing alerts about Anabatic Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Anabatic Technologies Tbk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Anabatic Technologies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 6.46 T. Net Loss for the year was (275.6 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 955.02 B.
Anabatic Technologies generates negative cash flow from operations
About 84.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Complementary Tools for Anabatic Stock analysis

When running Anabatic Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Anabatic Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Anabatic Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Anabatic Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Anabatic Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Anabatic Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Anabatic Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Anabatic Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Anabatic Technologies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Anabatic Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.