Amplify Energy Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.07
| AMPY Stock | USD 5.79 0.01 0.17% |
Closest to current price Amplify long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Amplify |
Amplify Energy Target Price Odds to finish below 0.07
The tendency of Amplify Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.07 or more in 90 days |
| 5.79 | 90 days | 0.07 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Amplify Energy to drop to $ 0.07 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Amplify Energy Corp probability density function shows the probability of Amplify Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Amplify Energy Corp price to stay between $ 0.07 and its current price of $5.79 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.92 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Amplify Energy has a beta of 0.37. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Amplify Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Amplify Energy Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Amplify Energy Corp has an alpha of 0.0119, implying that it can generate a 0.0119 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Amplify Energy Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Amplify Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amplify Energy Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Amplify Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Amplify Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Amplify Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Amplify Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Amplify Energy Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Amplify Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.37 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.50 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0 |
Amplify Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Amplify Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Amplify Energy Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Amplify Energy Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Amplify Energy Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Amplify Energy Corp currently holds 121.83 M in liabilities. Amplify Energy Corp has a current ratio of 0.57, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Amplify Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Martyn Willsher of 102411 shares of Amplify Energy subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Amplify Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Amplify Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Amplify Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Amplify Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 39 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 20.7 M |
Amplify Energy Technical Analysis
Amplify Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Amplify Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Amplify Energy Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Amplify Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Amplify Energy Predictive Forecast Models
Amplify Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Amplify Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Amplify Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Amplify Energy Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Amplify Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Amplify Energy Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Amplify Energy Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Amplify Energy Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Amplify Energy Corp currently holds 121.83 M in liabilities. Amplify Energy Corp has a current ratio of 0.57, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Amplify Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Martyn Willsher of 102411 shares of Amplify Energy subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Additional Tools for Amplify Stock Analysis
When running Amplify Energy's price analysis, check to measure Amplify Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Amplify Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Amplify Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Amplify Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Amplify Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Amplify Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.