Aston Martin Lagonda Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 1.75
| AMGDF Stock | USD 1.82 0.20 9.90% |
Aston |
Aston Martin Target Price Odds to finish over 1.75
The tendency of Aston Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 1.75 in 90 days |
| 1.82 | 90 days | 1.75 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aston Martin to stay above $ 1.75 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Aston Martin Lagonda probability density function shows the probability of Aston Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Aston Martin Lagonda price to stay between $ 1.75 and its current price of $1.82 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 1.22 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Aston Martin will likely underperform. Additionally Aston Martin Lagonda has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Aston Martin Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Aston Martin
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aston Martin Lagonda. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Aston Martin's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Aston Martin Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aston Martin is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aston Martin's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aston Martin Lagonda, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aston Martin within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.42 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.22 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.13 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Aston Martin Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aston Martin for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aston Martin Lagonda can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Aston Martin Lagonda generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Aston Martin Lagonda may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Aston Martin Lagonda has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Aston Martin Lagonda has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company has accumulated 1.07 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 3.67, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Aston Martin Lagonda has a current ratio of 0.78, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Aston Martin until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Aston Martin's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Aston Martin Lagonda sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Aston to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Aston Martin's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 1.1 B. Net Loss for the year was (191.6 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 343.7 M. | |
| About 40.0% of Aston Martin shares are held by company insiders |
Aston Martin Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Aston Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Aston Martin's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aston Martin's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 116.5 M |
Aston Martin Technical Analysis
Aston Martin's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aston Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aston Martin Lagonda. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aston Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Aston Martin Predictive Forecast Models
Aston Martin's time-series forecasting models is one of many Aston Martin's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aston Martin's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Aston Martin Lagonda
Checking the ongoing alerts about Aston Martin for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aston Martin Lagonda help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Aston Martin Lagonda generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Aston Martin Lagonda may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Aston Martin Lagonda has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Aston Martin Lagonda has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company has accumulated 1.07 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 3.67, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Aston Martin Lagonda has a current ratio of 0.78, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Aston Martin until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Aston Martin's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Aston Martin Lagonda sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Aston to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Aston Martin's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 1.1 B. Net Loss for the year was (191.6 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 343.7 M. | |
| About 40.0% of Aston Martin shares are held by company insiders |
Check out Aston Martin Backtesting, Aston Martin Valuation, Aston Martin Correlation, Aston Martin Hype Analysis, Aston Martin Volatility, Aston Martin History as well as Aston Martin Performance. Note that the Aston Martin Lagonda information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Aston Martin's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
Complementary Tools for Aston Pink Sheet analysis
When running Aston Martin's price analysis, check to measure Aston Martin's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aston Martin is operating at the current time. Most of Aston Martin's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aston Martin's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aston Martin's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aston Martin to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Transaction History View history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance | |
| Correlation Analysis Reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated | |
| Global Correlations Find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets | |
| CEOs Directory Screen CEOs from public companies around the world | |
| Balance Of Power Check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios | |
| Idea Breakdown Analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes | |
| Positions Ratings Determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance | |
| Bond Analysis Evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios. | |
| Price Exposure Probability Analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets | |
| Equity Search Search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets | |
| Equity Forecasting Use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum | |
| ETF Categories List of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments |