Aston Martin Lagonda Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| AMGDF Stock | USD 2.07 0.01 0.49% |
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding Aston Martin Lagonda is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Aston Martin buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AMGDF positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Aston Martin's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Aston Martin's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 1.69 | Hype Value 2.06 | Market Value 2.07 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Aston Martin Lagonda given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Aston Martin. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Aston Martin Lagonda, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Aston |
Execute Aston Martin Buy or Sell Advice
The Aston recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Aston Martin Lagonda. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Aston Martin Lagonda or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Aston Martin's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Buy
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Dangerous | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Quite High | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Aston Martin Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Aston Martin Lagonda generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Aston Martin Lagonda has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Aston Martin Lagonda has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company has accumulated 1.07 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 3.67, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Aston Martin Lagonda has a current ratio of 0.78, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Aston Martin until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Aston Martin's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Aston Martin Lagonda sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Aston to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Aston Martin's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 1.1 B. Net Loss for the year was (191.6 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 343.7 M. | |
| About 40.0% of Aston Martin shares are held by company insiders |
Aston Martin Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Aston Martin's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Aston Martin's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Aston Martin daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Aston Martin Lagonda price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Aston Martin returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Aston Martin.
| Mean Return | -0.25 | Value At Risk | -7.36 | Potential Upside | 5.63 | Standard Deviation | 4.56 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Aston Martin historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Aston Martin Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Aston Martin or Consumer Cyclical sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Aston Martin's price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Aston pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.35 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.52 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.44 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Aston Martin Volatility Alert
Aston Martin Lagonda exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.54 and kurtosis of 3.97. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Aston Martin's pink sheet risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Aston Martin's pink sheet price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Aston Martin Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Aston Martin's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Aston Martin's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Aston Martin and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Aston Martin or determine the pink sheets which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Aston Martin's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Aston Martin by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Aston Martin to competition |
| Fundamentals | Aston Martin | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.74 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0313 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.45) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.13) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 2.86 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 698.76 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 39.91 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 28.52 % | 39.21 % |
| Price To Book | 1.14 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.31 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 1.1 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 343.7 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 159.7 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (191.6 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 156.2 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 1.34 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 1.07 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 3.67 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.80 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 6.74 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 178.9 M | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | (2.75) X | 3.12 X |
| Number Of Employees | 2.21 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 2.14 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 1.91 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 2.84 B | 29.47 B |
| Z Score | 0.6 | 8.72 |
| Net Asset | 2.84 B |
Aston Martin Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Aston . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 4.78 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 1.0 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 2.08 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 2.07 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.01 |
About Aston Martin Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Aston Martin Lagonda? Buying financial instruments such as Aston Pink Sheet isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Aston Martin Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Aston Martin Lagonda information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Aston Martin's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.
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When running Aston Martin's price analysis, check to measure Aston Martin's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aston Martin is operating at the current time. Most of Aston Martin's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aston Martin's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aston Martin's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aston Martin to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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