ABERCROMBIE FTCH-A (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 124.54
| AFT Stock | EUR 124.54 2.98 2.45% |
ABERCROMBIE |
ABERCROMBIE FTCH-A Target Price Odds to finish over 124.54
The tendency of ABERCROMBIE Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 124.54 | 90 days | 124.54 | nearly 4.69 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ABERCROMBIE FTCH-A to move above the current price in 90 days from now is nearly 4.69 (This ABERCROMBIE FTCH A probability density function shows the probability of ABERCROMBIE Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ABERCROMBIE FTCH A has a beta of -0.22. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding ABERCROMBIE FTCH-A are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, ABERCROMBIE FTCH A is likely to outperform the market. Additionally ABERCROMBIE FTCH A has an alpha of 0.3791, implying that it can generate a 0.38 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). ABERCROMBIE FTCH-A Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for ABERCROMBIE FTCH-A
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ABERCROMBIE FTCH A. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ABERCROMBIE FTCH-A's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
ABERCROMBIE FTCH-A Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ABERCROMBIE FTCH-A is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ABERCROMBIE FTCH-A's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ABERCROMBIE FTCH A, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ABERCROMBIE FTCH-A within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.38 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.22 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.65 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
ABERCROMBIE FTCH-A Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ABERCROMBIE FTCH-A for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ABERCROMBIE FTCH A can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| ABERCROMBIE FTCH A had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
ABERCROMBIE FTCH-A Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ABERCROMBIE Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ABERCROMBIE FTCH-A's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ABERCROMBIE FTCH-A's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 53 M |
ABERCROMBIE FTCH-A Technical Analysis
ABERCROMBIE FTCH-A's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ABERCROMBIE Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ABERCROMBIE FTCH A. In general, you should focus on analyzing ABERCROMBIE Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
ABERCROMBIE FTCH-A Predictive Forecast Models
ABERCROMBIE FTCH-A's time-series forecasting models is one of many ABERCROMBIE FTCH-A's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ABERCROMBIE FTCH-A's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about ABERCROMBIE FTCH A
Checking the ongoing alerts about ABERCROMBIE FTCH-A for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ABERCROMBIE FTCH A help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| ABERCROMBIE FTCH A had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
Check out ABERCROMBIE FTCH-A Backtesting, ABERCROMBIE FTCH-A Valuation, ABERCROMBIE FTCH-A Correlation, ABERCROMBIE FTCH-A Hype Analysis, ABERCROMBIE FTCH-A Volatility, ABERCROMBIE FTCH-A History as well as ABERCROMBIE FTCH-A Performance. You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
Complementary Tools for ABERCROMBIE Stock analysis
When running ABERCROMBIE FTCH-A's price analysis, check to measure ABERCROMBIE FTCH-A's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ABERCROMBIE FTCH-A is operating at the current time. Most of ABERCROMBIE FTCH-A's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ABERCROMBIE FTCH-A's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ABERCROMBIE FTCH-A's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ABERCROMBIE FTCH-A to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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