American Clean Resources Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 9.08
| ACRG Stock | USD 9.50 0.49 4.90% |
American |
American Clean Target Price Odds to finish over 9.08
The tendency of American Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 9.08 in 90 days |
| 9.50 | 90 days | 9.08 | about 71.15 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of American Clean to stay above $ 9.08 in 90 days from now is about 71.15 (This American Clean Resources probability density function shows the probability of American Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of American Clean Resources price to stay between $ 9.08 and its current price of $9.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.03 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days American Clean has a beta of 0.51. This suggests as returns on the market go up, American Clean average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding American Clean Resources will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally American Clean Resources has an alpha of 0.5008, implying that it can generate a 0.5 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). American Clean Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for American Clean
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as American Clean Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of American Clean's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
American Clean Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. American Clean is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the American Clean's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold American Clean Resources, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of American Clean within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.50 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.51 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |
American Clean Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of American Clean for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for American Clean Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| American Clean had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| American Clean has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (1.13 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| About 54.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
American Clean Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of American Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential American Clean's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. American Clean's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.7 M |
American Clean Technical Analysis
American Clean's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. American Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of American Clean Resources. In general, you should focus on analyzing American Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
American Clean Predictive Forecast Models
American Clean's time-series forecasting models is one of many American Clean's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary American Clean's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about American Clean Resources
Checking the ongoing alerts about American Clean for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for American Clean Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| American Clean had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| American Clean has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (1.13 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| About 54.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Check out American Clean Backtesting, American Clean Valuation, American Clean Correlation, American Clean Hype Analysis, American Clean Volatility, American Clean History as well as American Clean Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.
Complementary Tools for American Pink Sheet analysis
When running American Clean's price analysis, check to measure American Clean's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American Clean is operating at the current time. Most of American Clean's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American Clean's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American Clean's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American Clean to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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