American Clean Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

ACRG Stock  USD 9.37  0.35  3.88%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of American Clean Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 8.61 with a mean absolute deviation of  0.29  and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.91. American Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast American Clean stock prices and determine the direction of American Clean Resources's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of American Clean's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of American Clean to cross-verify your projections.
  
Most investors in American Clean cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the American Clean's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets American Clean's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A naive forecasting model for American Clean is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of American Clean Resources value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

American Clean Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 29th of May

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of American Clean Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 8.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.29, mean absolute percentage error of 0.15, and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.91.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict American Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that American Clean's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

American Clean Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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American Clean Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting American Clean's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. American Clean's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4.91 and 12.31, respectively. We have considered American Clean's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
9.37
8.61
Expected Value
12.31
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of American Clean pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent American Clean pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.1847
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2936
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0308
SAESum of the absolute errors17.9113
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of American Clean Resources. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict American Clean. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for American Clean

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as American Clean Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of American Clean's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.679.3713.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.338.0311.73
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as American Clean. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against American Clean's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, American Clean's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in American Clean Resources.

Other Forecasting Options for American Clean

For every potential investor in American, whether a beginner or expert, American Clean's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. American Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in American. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying American Clean's price trends.

American Clean Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with American Clean pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of American Clean could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing American Clean by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

American Clean Resources Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of American Clean's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of American Clean's current price.

American Clean Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how American Clean pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading American Clean shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying American Clean pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify American Clean Resources entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

American Clean Risk Indicators

The analysis of American Clean's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in American Clean's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting american pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of American Clean to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.

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When running American Clean's price analysis, check to measure American Clean's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American Clean is operating at the current time. Most of American Clean's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American Clean's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American Clean's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American Clean to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between American Clean's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if American Clean is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Clean's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.