Anheuser Busch (Belgium) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 56.04
| ABI Stock | EUR 55.52 0.36 0.65% |
Anheuser |
Anheuser Busch Target Price Odds to finish over 56.04
The tendency of Anheuser Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 56.04 or more in 90 days |
| 55.52 | 90 days | 56.04 | about 44.39 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Anheuser Busch to move over € 56.04 or more in 90 days from now is about 44.39 (This Anheuser Busch Inbev probability density function shows the probability of Anheuser Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Anheuser Busch Inbev price to stay between its current price of € 55.52 and € 56.04 at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.23 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Anheuser Busch Inbev has a beta of -0.0637. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Anheuser Busch are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Anheuser Busch Inbev is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Anheuser Busch Inbev has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Anheuser Busch Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Anheuser Busch
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Anheuser Busch Inbev. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Anheuser Busch's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Anheuser Busch Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Anheuser Busch is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Anheuser Busch's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Anheuser Busch Inbev, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Anheuser Busch within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.56 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Anheuser Busch Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Anheuser Busch for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Anheuser Busch Inbev can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Anheuser Busch Inbev generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company has accumulated 85.54 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.01, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Anheuser Busch Inbev has a current ratio of 0.66, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Anheuser Busch until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Anheuser Busch's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Anheuser Busch Inbev sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Anheuser to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Anheuser Busch's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 49.0% of Anheuser Busch shares are held by company insiders |
Anheuser Busch Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Anheuser Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Anheuser Busch's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Anheuser Busch's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 12.5 B |
Anheuser Busch Technical Analysis
Anheuser Busch's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Anheuser Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Anheuser Busch Inbev. In general, you should focus on analyzing Anheuser Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Anheuser Busch Predictive Forecast Models
Anheuser Busch's time-series forecasting models is one of many Anheuser Busch's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Anheuser Busch's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Anheuser Busch Inbev
Checking the ongoing alerts about Anheuser Busch for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Anheuser Busch Inbev help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Anheuser Busch Inbev generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company has accumulated 85.54 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.01, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Anheuser Busch Inbev has a current ratio of 0.66, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Anheuser Busch until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Anheuser Busch's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Anheuser Busch Inbev sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Anheuser to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Anheuser Busch's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 49.0% of Anheuser Busch shares are held by company insiders |
Check out Anheuser Busch Backtesting, Anheuser Busch Valuation, Anheuser Busch Correlation, Anheuser Busch Hype Analysis, Anheuser Busch Volatility, Anheuser Busch History as well as Anheuser Busch Performance. You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.
Complementary Tools for Anheuser Stock analysis
When running Anheuser Busch's price analysis, check to measure Anheuser Busch's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Anheuser Busch is operating at the current time. Most of Anheuser Busch's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Anheuser Busch's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Anheuser Busch's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Anheuser Busch to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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