BANK HANDLOWY (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 25.50
| 6HW Stock | EUR 25.50 0.30 1.16% |
BANK |
BANK HANDLOWY Target Price Odds to finish over 25.50
The tendency of BANK Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 25.50 | 90 days | 25.50 | about 59.13 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BANK HANDLOWY to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 59.13 (This BANK HANDLOWY probability density function shows the probability of BANK Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon BANK HANDLOWY has a beta of -0.2. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding BANK HANDLOWY are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, BANK HANDLOWY is likely to outperform the market. Additionally BANK HANDLOWY has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. BANK HANDLOWY Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for BANK HANDLOWY
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BANK HANDLOWY. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of BANK HANDLOWY's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
BANK HANDLOWY Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BANK HANDLOWY is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BANK HANDLOWY's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BANK HANDLOWY, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BANK HANDLOWY within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.2 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.65 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
BANK HANDLOWY Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BANK Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BANK HANDLOWY's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BANK HANDLOWY's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 130.7 M | |
| Dividend Yield | 0.3953 | |
| Dividends Paid | 156.8 M |
BANK HANDLOWY Technical Analysis
BANK HANDLOWY's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BANK Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BANK HANDLOWY. In general, you should focus on analyzing BANK Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
BANK HANDLOWY Predictive Forecast Models
BANK HANDLOWY's time-series forecasting models is one of many BANK HANDLOWY's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BANK HANDLOWY's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards BANK HANDLOWY in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, BANK HANDLOWY's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from BANK HANDLOWY options trading.
Check out BANK HANDLOWY Backtesting, BANK HANDLOWY Valuation, BANK HANDLOWY Correlation, BANK HANDLOWY Hype Analysis, BANK HANDLOWY Volatility, BANK HANDLOWY History as well as BANK HANDLOWY Performance. You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.
Complementary Tools for BANK Stock analysis
When running BANK HANDLOWY's price analysis, check to measure BANK HANDLOWY's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BANK HANDLOWY is operating at the current time. Most of BANK HANDLOWY's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BANK HANDLOWY's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BANK HANDLOWY's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BANK HANDLOWY to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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