AB Volvo (UK) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 285.30

0HTP Stock   285.30  3.94  1.40%   
AB Volvo's future price is the expected price of AB Volvo instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of AB Volvo performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out AB Volvo Backtesting, AB Volvo Valuation, AB Volvo Correlation, AB Volvo Hype Analysis, AB Volvo Volatility, AB Volvo History as well as AB Volvo Performance.
  
Please specify AB Volvo's target price for which you would like AB Volvo odds to be computed.

AB Volvo Target Price Odds to finish over 285.30

The tendency of 0HTP Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 285.30 90 days 285.30 
about 35.72
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AB Volvo to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 35.72 (This AB Volvo probability density function shows the probability of 0HTP Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon AB Volvo has a beta of 0.39. This suggests as returns on the market go up, AB Volvo average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding AB Volvo will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally AB Volvo has an alpha of 0.2147, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   AB Volvo Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for AB Volvo

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AB Volvo. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AB Volvo's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
283.81285.30286.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
218.19219.68313.83
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
289.19290.68292.17
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as AB Volvo. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against AB Volvo's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, AB Volvo's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in AB Volvo.

AB Volvo Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AB Volvo is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AB Volvo's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AB Volvo, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AB Volvo within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.21
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.39
σ
Overall volatility
18.86
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

AB Volvo Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of 0HTP Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AB Volvo's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AB Volvo's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dividend Yield0.0319
Forward Annual Dividend Rate7
Shares Float1.9 B

AB Volvo Technical Analysis

AB Volvo's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 0HTP Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AB Volvo. In general, you should focus on analyzing 0HTP Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

AB Volvo Predictive Forecast Models

AB Volvo's time-series forecasting models is one of many AB Volvo's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AB Volvo's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards AB Volvo in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, AB Volvo's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from AB Volvo options trading.

Complementary Tools for 0HTP Stock analysis

When running AB Volvo's price analysis, check to measure AB Volvo's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AB Volvo is operating at the current time. Most of AB Volvo's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AB Volvo's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AB Volvo's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AB Volvo to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Piotroski F Score
Get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals
Risk-Return Analysis
View associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume
Premium Stories
Follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope
Fundamental Analysis
View fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements
Balance Of Power
Check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios
Share Portfolio
Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device
Funds Screener
Find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges
Fundamentals Comparison
Compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities
Performance Analysis
Check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation
ETF Categories
List of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments
Options Analysis
Analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios
Please note, there is a significant difference between AB Volvo's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AB Volvo is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AB Volvo's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.