Woolworths Holdings Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| WLWHY Stock | USD 3.58 0.13 3.77% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Woolworths Holdings Ltd on the next trading day is expected to be 3.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.91. Woolworths Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Woolworths Holdings stock prices and determine the direction of Woolworths Holdings Ltd's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Woolworths Holdings' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Woolworths Holdings to cross-verify your projections. Woolworths |
Most investors in Woolworths Holdings cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Woolworths Holdings' time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Woolworths Holdings' price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A two period moving average forecast for Woolworths Holdings is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility. Woolworths Holdings Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 22nd of May
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Woolworths Holdings Ltd on the next trading day is expected to be 3.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.91.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Woolworths Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Woolworths Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Woolworths Holdings Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
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Woolworths Holdings Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Woolworths Holdings' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Woolworths Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.04 and 7.45, respectively. We have considered Woolworths Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Woolworths Holdings pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Woolworths Holdings pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.9251 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0043 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0818 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0253 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 4.91 |
Predictive Modules for Woolworths Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Woolworths Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Woolworths Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Woolworths Holdings
For every potential investor in Woolworths, whether a beginner or expert, Woolworths Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Woolworths Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Woolworths. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Woolworths Holdings' price trends.Woolworths Holdings Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Woolworths Holdings pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Woolworths Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Woolworths Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Woolworths Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics
The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Woolworths Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Woolworths Holdings' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Woolworths Holdings Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Woolworths Holdings pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Woolworths Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Woolworths Holdings pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Woolworths Holdings Ltd entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Woolworths Holdings Risk Indicators
The analysis of Woolworths Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Woolworths Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting woolworths pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.32 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.54 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.79 | |||
| Variance | 14.33 | |||
| Downside Variance | 17.66 | |||
| Semi Variance | 12.54 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.63) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Woolworths Holdings to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Woolworths Holdings information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Woolworths Holdings' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Commodity Directory module to find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges.
Complementary Tools for Woolworths Pink Sheet analysis
When running Woolworths Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Woolworths Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Woolworths Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Woolworths Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Woolworths Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Woolworths Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Woolworths Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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