West China Pink Sheet Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

WCHNF Stock  USD 0.15  0.00  0.00%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of West China Cement on the next trading day is expected to be 0.15 with a mean absolute deviation of  0.01  and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.40. West Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast West China stock prices and determine the direction of West China Cement's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of West China's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of West China to cross-verify your projections.
  
Most investors in West China cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the West China's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets West China's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
An 8-period moving average forecast model for West China is based on an artificially constructed time series of West China daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

West China 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 17th of May 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of West China Cement on the next trading day is expected to be 0.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0005, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.40.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict West Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that West China's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

West China Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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West China Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting West China's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. West China's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 19.20, respectively. We have considered West China's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.15
0.15
Expected Value
19.20
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of West China pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent West China pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria97.5997
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0075
MADMean absolute deviation0.0075
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.05
SAESum of the absolute errors0.405
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. West China Cement 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for West China

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as West China Cement. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of West China's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.1519.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.1119.01
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as West China. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against West China's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, West China's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in West China Cement.

Other Forecasting Options for West China

For every potential investor in West, whether a beginner or expert, West China's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. West Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in West. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying West China's price trends.

West China Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with West China pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of West China could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing West China by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

West China Cement Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of West China's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of West China's current price.

West China Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how West China pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading West China shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying West China pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify West China Cement entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

West China Risk Indicators

The analysis of West China's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in West China's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting west pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of West China to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.

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When running West China's price analysis, check to measure West China's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy West China is operating at the current time. Most of West China's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of West China's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move West China's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of West China to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between West China's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if West China is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, West China's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.