Vestas Wind Pink Sheet Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

VWDRY Stock  USD 9.35  0.10  1.08%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Vestas Wind Systems on the next trading day is expected to be 9.30 with a mean absolute deviation of  0.18  and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.64. Vestas Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Vestas Wind stock prices and determine the direction of Vestas Wind Systems's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Vestas Wind's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Vestas Wind to cross-verify your projections.
  
Most investors in Vestas Wind cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Vestas Wind's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Vestas Wind's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A four-period moving average forecast model for Vestas Wind Systems is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Vestas Wind 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of May

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Vestas Wind Systems on the next trading day is expected to be 9.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.64.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Vestas Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Vestas Wind's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Vestas Wind Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Vestas WindVestas Wind Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Vestas Wind Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Vestas Wind's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Vestas Wind's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 7.54 and 11.07, respectively. We have considered Vestas Wind's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
9.35
9.30
Expected Value
11.07
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Vestas Wind pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Vestas Wind pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria109.577
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0135
MADMean absolute deviation0.1834
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0203
SAESum of the absolute errors10.64
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Vestas Wind. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Vestas Wind Systems and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Vestas Wind

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vestas Wind Systems. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vestas Wind's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.599.3511.11
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.409.1610.92
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Vestas Wind. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Vestas Wind's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Vestas Wind's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Vestas Wind Systems.

Other Forecasting Options for Vestas Wind

For every potential investor in Vestas, whether a beginner or expert, Vestas Wind's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Vestas Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Vestas. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Vestas Wind's price trends.

Vestas Wind Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Vestas Wind pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Vestas Wind could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vestas Wind by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Vestas Wind Systems Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Vestas Wind's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Vestas Wind's current price.

Vestas Wind Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Vestas Wind pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Vestas Wind shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Vestas Wind pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Vestas Wind Systems entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Vestas Wind Risk Indicators

The analysis of Vestas Wind's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Vestas Wind's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting vestas pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Vestas Wind to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.

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When running Vestas Wind's price analysis, check to measure Vestas Wind's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vestas Wind is operating at the current time. Most of Vestas Wind's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vestas Wind's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vestas Wind's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vestas Wind to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Vestas Wind's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vestas Wind is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vestas Wind's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.