Vericel Corp Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average
| VCEL Stock | USD 48.10 0.55 1.13% |
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Vericel Corp Ord on the next trading day is expected to be 46.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.44 and the sum of the absolute errors of 100.03. Vericel Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Vericel Corp stock prices and determine the direction of Vericel Corp Ord's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Vericel Corp's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Vericel Corp to cross-verify your projections. Vericel |
Most investors in Vericel Corp cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Vericel Corp's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Vericel Corp's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Vericel Corp Ord is based on a synthetically constructed Vericel Corpdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time. Vericel Corp 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 14th of May 2024
Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Vericel Corp Ord on the next trading day is expected to be 46.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.44, mean absolute percentage error of 9.37, and the sum of the absolute errors of 100.03.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Vericel Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Vericel Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Vericel Corp Stock Forecast Pattern
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Vericel Corp Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Vericel Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Vericel Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 44.56 and 48.95, respectively. We have considered Vericel Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Vericel Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Vericel Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 83.5907 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.4828 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.4398 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0505 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 100.0315 |
Predictive Modules for Vericel Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vericel Corp Ord. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vericel Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Vericel Corp
For every potential investor in Vericel, whether a beginner or expert, Vericel Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Vericel Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Vericel. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Vericel Corp's price trends.View Vericel Corp Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Vericel Corp Ord Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Vericel Corp's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Vericel Corp's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Vericel Corp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Vericel Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Vericel Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Vericel Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Vericel Corp Ord entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Vericel Corp Risk Indicators
The analysis of Vericel Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Vericel Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting vericel stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.67 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.98 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.19 | |||
| Variance | 4.81 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.28 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.92 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.85) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Vericel Corp in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Vericel Corp's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Vericel Corp options trading.
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.When determining whether Vericel Corp Ord is a strong investment it is important to analyze Vericel Corp's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Vericel Corp's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Vericel Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Vericel Corp to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Vericel Corp Ord information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Vericel Corp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
Complementary Tools for Vericel Stock analysis
When running Vericel Corp's price analysis, check to measure Vericel Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vericel Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Vericel Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vericel Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vericel Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vericel Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Vericel Corp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vericel Corp. If investors know Vericel will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Vericel Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Vericel Corp Ord is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vericel that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vericel Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vericel Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vericel Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vericel Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vericel Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vericel Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vericel Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.