Europe 30 Mutual Fund Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| UEPSX Fund | USD 16.07 0.19 1.08% |
Europe Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Europe 30 stock prices and determine the direction of Europe 30 Profund's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Europe 30's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state. Europe |
Most investors in Europe 30 cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, fund markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Europe 30's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Europe 30's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Europe 30 works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality. Europe 30 Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 26th of May
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Europe 30 Profund on the next trading day is expected to be 17.37 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.25.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Europe Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Europe 30's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Europe 30 Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Europe 30 | Europe 30 Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Europe 30 Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Europe 30's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Europe 30's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 16.72 and 18.02, respectively. We have considered Europe 30's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Europe 30 mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Europe 30 mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0149 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.089 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0053 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 5.2493 |
Predictive Modules for Europe 30
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Europe 30 Profund. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Europe 30's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Europe 30
For every potential investor in Europe, whether a beginner or expert, Europe 30's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Europe Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Europe. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Europe 30's price trends.Europe 30 Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Europe 30 mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Europe 30 could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Europe 30 by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Europe 30 Profund Technical and Predictive Analytics
The mutual fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Europe 30's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Europe 30's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Europe 30 Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Europe 30 mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Europe 30 shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Europe 30 mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Europe 30 Profund entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | (9,223,372,036,855) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 17.38 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 17.38 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.1) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.19) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 44.06 |
Europe 30 Risk Indicators
The analysis of Europe 30's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Europe 30's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting europe mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.4859 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.5381 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.6458 | |||
| Variance | 0.417 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.4858 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.2895 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.53) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.| MSFT | Microsoft | |
| GM | General Motors | |
| CRM | Salesforce |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Europe 30 to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..